Seattle @ New York props

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Giants to pass on 56.3% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The New York Giants O-line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Darren Waller's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 61.4%. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (69.3%) versus TEs since the start of last season (69.3%).

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Giants to pass on 56.3% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The New York Giants O-line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate. The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Noah Fant has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 11.6% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 77th percentile among tight ends. Noah Fant has been among the best pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile. Noah Fant's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 78.4% to 88.4%.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate. The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Kenneth Walker has played on 58.3% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs. Kenneth Walker's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 77.5% to 100.0%. The Giants safeties profile as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Darius Slayton has been less involved as a potential target this year (77.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (66.8%). The Seahawks safeties grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate. The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The model projects D.K. Metcalf to garner 8.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among WRs. D.K. Metcalf's 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 94th percentile for WRs. D.K. Metcalf has been among the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gone over 2.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Lockett has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Parris Campbell has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 2.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Hodgins has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Gary Brightwell has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 7 games.

Daniel Bellinger has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Zach Charbonnet has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.