Seattle 3rd NFC West9-8
Detroit 1st NFC North12-5
FOX

Seattle @ Detroit props

Ford Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

DK Metcalf Receptions Made Props • Seattle

D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
+124
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
+124
Projection Rating

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. D.K. Metcalf has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

DK Metcalf

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.5

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. D.K. Metcalf has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Made Props • Detroit

A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 10.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 29.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among WRs. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.5

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 10.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 29.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among WRs. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

Kenneth Walker III Receptions Made Props • Seattle

K. Walker III
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.

Kenneth Walker III

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.

Sam LaPorta Receptions Made Props • Detroit

S. LaPorta
tight end TE • Detroit
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script. The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league. The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.5%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (68.5%).

Sam LaPorta

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script. The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league. The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.5%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (68.5%).

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Made Props • Detroit

J. Gibbs
running back RB • Detroit
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs. THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to be much more involved in his team's passing offense this week (13.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.9% in games he has played). The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Jahmyr Gibbs

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs. THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to be much more involved in his team's passing offense this week (13.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.9% in games he has played). The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Noah Fant Receptions Made Props • Seattle

N. Fant
tight end TE • Seattle
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-195
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-195
Projection Rating

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.

Noah Fant

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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