Detroit @ Kansas City props

The Lions are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Sam LaPorta to garner 4.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script. The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency. The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a mere 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production. The Kansas City Chiefs have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

The Lions are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 10.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.7 receptions per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

The Chiefs are a big 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script. The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency. The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a mere 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production. The Kansas City Chiefs have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

The Lions are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among RBs. The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in the league (91.2%) to RBs since the start of last season (91.2%).

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Skyy Moore to total 5.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among WRs. THE BLITZ projects Skyy Moore to be a more important option in his offense's passing game this week (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.6% in games he has played).

David Montgomery has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Josh Reynolds has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Marvin Jones Jr. has gone over 2.5 in 0 of his last 6 games.