Virginia Tech Hokies
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5th in ACC (6 - 2)

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VTVirginia Tech

SMUSMU

Fri, Nov 6 19:00 ET

VT @ SMU Picks

NCAAF Picks

Spread

SMU -5.5 (-112)

Best Odds

-6.5 -105

Pick made: 20 hours ago

-6.5 -110

-6.5 -112

-6.5 -110

-5.5 -115

-5.5 -113

-6.5 -109

-6.5 -105

-5.5 -110

Play the SMU Mustangs to cover -5.5 at 54% or less. SMU has a more reliable path to multiple touchdown drives than the Virginia Tech Hokies. SMU succeeds on 50.4% of offensive snaps, ninth nationally, and QB Kevin Jennings generates 0.31 EPA per dropback. Tech’s fifth-ranked havoc rate can wreck a possession, but it still allows successful plays on 43.4% of snaps.

Total

o55.5 (-109)

Best Odds

o56.0 -110

Pick made: 20 hours ago

o56.5 -108

o56.5 -109

o56.5 -108

o56.5 -110

o56.0 -110

o56.5 -110

o56.5 -112

o56.5 -110

SMU’s defense allows 4.58 points per opponent scoring opportunity, 112th nationally. That gives Ethan Grunkemeyer and Tech a route to points even if they cannot control the game. Tech has thrown effectively enough to threaten downfield, while SMU’s defense has been better at preventing long drives than finishing stops once opponents cross the 40. On the other side, the Mustangs produce explosive plays on 9.9% of snaps, eighth nationally

Game Prop

o30.5 Team Total (-145)

Best Odds

o23.5 -125

Pick made: 20 hours ago

o24.5 -108

o23.5 -125

o24.5 -105

o24.5 -113

o24.5 -110

o24.5 -121

o24.5 -107

o25.5 -115

o24.5 -120

I like the Mustangs to score in this matchup at a high clip and I'd play this to 60%. Virginia Tech’s havoc is a legitimate obstacle, but SMU has been unusually good at rescuing drives: it ranks second nationally with 0.57 EPA per play on third and fourth down. Jennings can punish a defense that gets aggressive without ending the possession and he's hard to do that against

3 LEG PARLAY

1st Half o27.5

1st Half Total

o23.5 Team Total

Game Prop

SMU

Moneyline

Bet now

+340

Pick made: 19 hours ago

I like this combo. James Franklin said the bye should bring offensive linemen Montavious Cunningham and Brody Meadows back. Better protection gives Grunkemeyer more time to find Que’Sean Brown and makes 24 Virginia Tech points plausible without requiring a road win.

Virginia Tech Hokies Picks

Next Game

VT @ SMU Picks

Consensus Picks

61% picking SMU

61% picking Virginia Tech vs SMU to go Over

VT @ SMU · Props

VT @ SMU · Trends

Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)

Virginia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)

Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.05 Units / 2% ROI)

Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Virginia Tech has not hit the 1Q Game Total Over in any of their last 6 away games (-7.10 Units / -100% ROI)

Virginia Tech has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 1 of their last 6 away games (-4.92 Units / -71% ROI)

Virginia Tech has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 6 away games (-4.85 Units / -70% ROI)

Virginia Tech has only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 6 away games (-4.48 Units / -68% ROI)

Virginia Tech has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (-3.35 Units / -11% ROI)

SMU has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)

SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)

SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)

SMU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)

SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.80 Units / 9% ROI)

SMU has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (-16.60 Units / -35% ROI)

SMU has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (-5.55 Units / -1% ROI)

SMU has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.15 Units / -37% ROI)

SMU has only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.55 Units / -46% ROI)

SMU have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.40 Units / -24% ROI)

Top User Picks

'fat italian' is picking SMU to cover (-7.5)

'fat italian' picks Virginia Tech vs SMU to go Over (56.5)

'poppyg' is picking Virginia Tech to cover (+5.5)

'CC95531' is picking Virginia Tech to cover (+7.5)

'CJONES1068' is picking Virginia Tech to cover (+6.5)

'CC95531' picks Virginia Tech vs SMU to go Over (56.5)

'n1stunnor' is picking Virginia Tech to cover (+7.5)

'DJIX' picks Virginia Tech vs SMU to go Over (56.5)

'DJIX' is picking SMU to cover (-5.5)

'ptrixie' is picking SMU to cover (-7.5)

'FoxyFoxes' is picking SMU to cover (-7.5)

'FoxyFoxes' picks Virginia Tech vs SMU to go Over (56.5)

'deebo7348' is picking Virginia Tech to cover (+6.5)

'deebo7348' picks Virginia Tech vs SMU to go Under (56.5)

'PMaeson' is picking SMU to cover (-7.5)

'PMaeson' picks Virginia Tech vs SMU to go Under (56.5)

'nbahoops' is picking Virginia Tech to cover (+7.5)

'nbahoops' picks Virginia Tech vs SMU to go Over (56.5)

'Bigblue78' is picking SMU to cover (-6.5)

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