Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks
11th in SEC
(4 - 3)
Next Game
MSST @ TEX Picks
NCAAF PicksTexas -5.5 first quarter is playable up to -6.5. The Longhorns have been one of the nation’s better first-quarter scoring teams, while their defense should create short fields against an overmatched Mississippi State offense.
Under 50.5 is playable down to 48.5. Texas should control the game, but its struggling offense and poor rushing efficiency make a massive scoring output unlikely, while Mississippi State's defense is strongest against the run.
Texas -20.5 is playable up to -23.5. The Longhorns lead the nation in schedule-adjusted defensive EPA, while Mississippi State has struggled badly against tougher competition and now loses star QB Kamario Taylor.
Texas can start fast, build separation, and let its defense control the rest. This combo leans on the Longhorns covering comfortably while the game stays below the total.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus
51% picking MS State
Total Picks MSST 152, TEX 147
MSST @ TEX · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
A. Manning
(QB)
o229.5 Passing Yards
251.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+22.4
DIFFERENCE
26.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
A. Manning
(QB)
o29.5 Rushing Yards
41.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.7
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
TEX
H. Smothers
(RB)
o69.5 Rushing Yards
83.23 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.7
DIFFERENCE
26.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
TEX
R. Brown
(RB)
o67.5 Rushing Yards
73.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.9
DIFFERENCE
20.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MSST
A. Evans III
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
77.51 OVER
PROJECTION
+28.0
DIFFERENCE
26.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MSST
M. Johnson
(WR)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
31.95 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.5
DIFFERENCE
26.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MSST
S. Magee
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
38.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.6
DIFFERENCE
26.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
C. Coleman
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
70.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.9
DIFFERENCE
26.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TEX
R. Wingo
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
80.08 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.6
DIFFERENCE
26.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TEX
E. Mosley V
(WR)
o35.5 Receiving Yards
48.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.1
DIFFERENCE
25.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MSST
Z. Ragins
(WR)
o20.5 Receiving Yards
24.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.1
DIFFERENCE
21.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MSST
A. Evans III
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
6.40 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
19.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
C. Coleman
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
4.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
16.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MSST
Z. Ragins
(WR)
u2.5 Receptions
1.79 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
9.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MSST
M. Johnson
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
2.35 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
9.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MSST
S. Magee
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.73 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TEX
R. Wingo
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
4.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MSST
S. West
(TE)
u1.5 Receptions
1.03 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TEX
E. Mosley V
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
3.14 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
A. Manning
(QB)
o17.5 Completions
19.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
17.44%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
MSST @ TEX · Trends
Top User Picks
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'alayne25' is picking MS State to cover (+20.5)
alayne25 is #1 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'CappyKing921' is picking MS State to cover (+20.5)
CappyKing921 is #2 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'RedskinsWoman' is picking MS State to cover (+20.5)
RedskinsWoman is #4 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'SouthernMotion' is picking MS State to cover (+20.5)
SouthernMotion is #4 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (3-3-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'ChiTownSteppers' is picking MS State to cover (+20.5)
ChiTownSteppers is #5 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3350 units on the season.