Buffalo vs Ball State Picks & Props
BUFF vs BALL Picks
NCAAF PicksBuffalo could be in for a letdown after an emotional overtime win over Miami (Ohio). Meanwhile, Ball State has gone 2-1 since its loss to Northwestern and feels undervalued as a field-goal underdog. I'm buying low on the Cardinals in a spot where motivation could be a factor.
Rain could slow things down, but Buffalo's fast-paced offense should still dictate the tempo. Meanwhile, Ball State's defense has struggled throughout conference play, allowing nearly 30 points per game. The Bulls have defensive issues of their own, creating potential for both offenses to find success in this matchup.
Both defenses have struggled to keep opponents off the scoreboard, making the first-half over an appealing option. With both teams allowing at least 15.9 first-half points per game, and Ball State surrendering nearly 20, expect plenty of early scoring opportunities.
For this combo, let's forget the points and back the Cardinals outright. Points shouldn't come at a premium in this matchup, considering both defenses are mediocre at best. With Buffalo's pace likely forcing a fast-paced game, the over should make for a fun sweat as well.
BUFF vs BALL Consensus Picks
BUFF vs BALL Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
BUFF
J. Wright
(QB)
o186.5 Passing Yards
211.51 OVER
PROJECTION
+25.0
DIFFERENCE
25.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
BALL
K. Luster
(QB)
o193.5 Passing Yards
202.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.1
DIFFERENCE
19.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BUFF
M. Burch
(RB)
o79.5 Rushing Yards
92.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.6
DIFFERENCE
26.85%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BUFF
J. Wright
(QB)
u21.5 Rushing Yards
17.62 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.9
DIFFERENCE
23.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BALL
T. Horton
(RB)
o36.5 Rushing Yards
43.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.6
DIFFERENCE
22.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BALL
K. Luster
(QB)
u37.5 Rushing Yards
35.17 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.3
DIFFERENCE
21.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BALL
J. Bonds
(RB)
u63.5 Rushing Yards
61.08 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
20.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BUFF
C. Morrow
(WR)
o64.5 Receiving Yards
80.38 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.9
DIFFERENCE
26.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BALL
J. Smith
(WR)
o10.5 Receiving Yards
25.94 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.4
DIFFERENCE
26.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BUFF
D. Early Jr.
(WR)
o25.5 Receiving Yards
42.54 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.0
DIFFERENCE
26.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BALL
D. Hamilton
(WR)
o32.5 Receiving Yards
45.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.5
DIFFERENCE
26.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BALL
I. Thacker
(WR)
o25.5 Receiving Yards
34.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.4
DIFFERENCE
25.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BALL
J. McDougle
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
38.31 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.8
DIFFERENCE
25.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BUFF
P. Clacks III
(WR)
u21.5 Receiving Yards
17.22 UNDER
PROJECTION
-4.3
DIFFERENCE
21.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BUFF
C. Walker
(TE)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
33.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.1
DIFFERENCE
21.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BUFF
M. Burch
(RB)
o4.5 Receiving Yards
6.19 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
-16.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BALL
J. Smith
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
1.91 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
17.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BUFF
M. Burch
(RB)
u1.5 Receptions
0.79 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BUFF
D. Early Jr.
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
10.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BALL
D. Hamilton
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BALL
I. Thacker
(WR)
u2.5 Receptions
2.46 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BALL
J. McDougle
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BUFF
C. Morrow
(WR)
o5.5 Receptions
5.50 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-10.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
BALL
K. Luster
(QB)
o10.5 Carries
13.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
21.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
BALL
T. Horton
(RB)
o8.5 Carries
9.50 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
14.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
BUFF
M. Burch
(RB)
o15.5 Carries
17.49 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
12.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
BALL
J. Bonds
(RB)
o13.5 Carries
13.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
6.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
BUFF
J. Wright
(QB)
u17.5 Completions
17.46 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.25%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as an underdog.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.