Kentucky vs Tennessee Picks & Props
UK vs TENN Picks
NCAAF PicksTradable to 56%, the Vols have a serious advantage on the defensive side of the ball.
Add in Kentucky's linebacker depth concerns and poor underlying defensive metrics, and Tennessee will look to run early and often as the Vols pull away in the second half on the legs of DeSean Bishop.
Take the Under 49.5 here and trade it to 54%.
Both offensive lines struggle to protect the quarterback, which will enable these two defenses to get stops when they can force obvious passing situations. Tennessee will also control the clock with one of the most run-heavy attacks in the country.
Trade this to 57% as the Wildcats struggle to put together sustained drives and protect Kenny Minchey.
Kentucky ranks 101st in third-down success and 108th in red zone scoring, which simply won't get the job done against this strong Tennessee defense.
Kentucky's lone defeat came against the Tide, who ran the ball repeatedly and simply wore down the Wildcat defense after halftime.
If Tennessee finds similar success on the ground, they can force Kentucky into obvious passing spots and get after Kenny Minchey with a pass rush ranked second nationally in sack rate.
UK vs TENN Consensus Picks
UK vs TENN Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
TENN
G. MacIntyre
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
220.91 OVER
PROJECTION
+21.4
DIFFERENCE
25.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
UK
K. Minchey
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
205.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.1
DIFFERENCE
12.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UK
K. Minchey
(QB)
o5.5 Rushing Yards
10.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.3
DIFFERENCE
24.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
TENN
D. Bishop
(RB)
o122.5 Rushing Yards
132.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.1
DIFFERENCE
21.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TENN
B. Staley
(WR)
o44.5 Receiving Yards
62.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.5
DIFFERENCE
26.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UK
W. Rodriguez
(TE)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
57.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.7
DIFFERENCE
26.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UK
D. Miller
(WR)
o37.5 Receiving Yards
49.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.9
DIFFERENCE
25.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TENN
M. Matthews
(WR)
o58.5 Receiving Yards
67.43 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.9
DIFFERENCE
23.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UK
K. Darby
(WR)
o45.5 Receiving Yards
54.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.6
DIFFERENCE
23.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TENN
D. Brame
(TE)
o25.5 Receiving Yards
30.73 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.2
DIFFERENCE
22.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TENN
D. Bishop
(RB)
o9.5 Receiving Yards
12.32 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
21.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UK
W. Rodriguez
(TE)
o4.5 Receptions
5.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
12.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TENN
D. Brame
(TE)
u2.5 Receptions
2.46 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TENN
B. Staley
(WR)
u5.5 Receptions
4.83 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UK
C. Baxter
(RB)
o0.5 Receptions
1.21 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-1.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
UK
K. Minchey
(QB)
o7.5 Carries
8.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
11.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
UK
K. Minchey
(QB)
o18.5 Completions
18.72 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.61%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Volunteers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Volunteers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.