Nevada vs UCLA Picks & Props
NEV vs UCLA Picks
NCAAF PicksGood down to 42.5. Ty Dieffenbach has more career turnover-worthy passes (14) than big-time throws (13). The Bruins will keep the ball on the ground (57.5% rush rate), and will do so at a leisurely pace. They snap the ball every 29.3 seconds, the 128th-fastest tempo.
Nevada is good down to +21. UCLA is averaging 20.7 ppg with Ty Dieffenbach at quarterback, so the offense is officially a concern. It managed just 0.032 EPA per play last week against a Michigan State defense absent several starters.
Nevada ranks 24th in defensive success rate and can provide some resistance against UCLA. The Bruins will control the tempo and be happy to survive and advance toward the playoffs without lighting up the scoreboard.
The UCLA Bruins will keep the ball on the ground and milk the clock, keeping this contest low-scoring and within a reasonable margin.
NEV vs UCLA Consensus Picks
67% picking UCLA
Total Picks NEV 113, UCLA 225
NEV vs UCLA Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UCLA
T. Dieffenbach
(QB)
u206.5 Passing Yards
202.21 UNDER
PROJECTION
-4.3
DIFFERENCE
14.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
NEV
D. Kelley
(RB)
o44.5 Rushing Yards
53.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.2
DIFFERENCE
23.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
o79.5 Rushing Yards
86.39 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.9
DIFFERENCE
19.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UCLA
A. Woods
(RB)
o59.5 Rushing Yards
61.49 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
13.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
o7.5 Receiving Yards
19.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.5
DIFFERENCE
26.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
NEV
G. Givens III
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
45.10 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.6
DIFFERENCE
24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
S. Morgan
(WR)
o53.5 Receiving Yards
59.39 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.9
DIFFERENCE
23.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
L. Ellis
(WR)
o25.5 Receiving Yards
28.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.6
DIFFERENCE
16.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
B. Rowe Jr.
(WR)
u34.5 Receiving Yards
34.08 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
B. Loftin
(TE)
o12.5 Receiving Yards
13.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
o1.5 Receptions
2.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
17.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
B. Loftin
(TE)
u1.5 Receptions
1.14 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
16.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
L. Ellis
(WR)
u2.5 Receptions
1.79 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
13.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
NEV
G. Givens III
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
3.46 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
12.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
B. Rowe Jr.
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
S. Morgan
(WR)
u4.5 Receptions
4.40 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
NEV
D. Kelley
(RB)
o12.5 Carries
14.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.4
DIFFERENCE
21.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
UCLA
A. Woods
(RB)
o10.5 Carries
11.52 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
13.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
UCLA
T. Dieffenbach
(QB)
o5.5 Carries
5.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
o14.5 Carries
15.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
-8.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
UCLA
T. Dieffenbach
(QB)
u16.5 Completions
16.30 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
13.07%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Bruins are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Bruins are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-0 in Bruins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Bruins are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bruins are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Wolf Pack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bruins are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
ROI Trends
NEV vs UCLA Top User Picks
'DIEASU' is picking Nevada to cover (+21.5)
DIEASU is #1 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'vikings53098' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
vikings53098 is #10 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
'pipmove' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
pipmove is #2 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'pardo3' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
pardo3 is #3 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'emoney1973' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
emoney1973 is #3 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.
'CastlemontDB91' is picking Nevada to cover (+23.5)
CastlemontDB91 is #5 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +2800 units on the season.
'bowron' is picking Nevada to cover (+22.5)
bowron is #5 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'fat italian' is picking UCLA to cover (-21.5)
fat italian is #6 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +2800 units on the season.
'MrBaggins' is picking Nevada to cover (+21.5)
MrBaggins is #7 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +2800 units on the season.
'qlh' is picking UCLA to cover (-23.5)
qlh is #8 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +2800 units on the season.
'JFT1010' is picking Nevada to cover (+22.5)
JFT1010 is #8 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (4-3-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'Makanikeoe' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
Makanikeoe is #9 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.