New Mexico vs Hawai'i Picks & Props
UNM vs HAW Picks
NCAAF Picks
UNM -16.5 (-112)
New Mexico is 5-0 ATS, and I like the Lobos to cover as many as 16.5 points against a struggling Hawaii team. New Mexico's defense is the best in the G6 and ranks No. 1 nationally in havoc rate (25.8%) and No. 2 in success rate (34.5%). Hawaii has scored more than 16 points just once in its last five games.
1st Half u23.5 (-111)
New Mexico will thrive by creating chaos (second in front seven havoc on defense), and the offense will be content running the ball and draining the clock (132nd in seconds per snap) against an overmatched opponent.
u43.5 (-101)
New Mexico's defense is the certifiable truth, leading the country in both EPA per play and success rate allowed. Hawaii is 1-5 O/U thanks to an offense that throws the ball at the highest rate in the nation (65.3%) despite being so ineffective at it (116th in passing success rate).
UNM -14.5 (-114)
I'll take New Mexico at anything below 17 points. The Lobos are 5-0 ATS with an average cover margin of 19.5 points per game. Hawaii is a mess on both sides of the ball, ranking 115th in success rate on offense and 121st on defense.
New Mexico holds a huge edge in the trenches, ranking 27th in offensive line yards and fourth in defensive line yards. Hawaii ranks 125th defensively, so it'll get manhandled up front as the Lobos instill their methodical, efficient approach from the opening snap.
UNM vs HAW Consensus Picks
55% picking New Mexico
Total Picks UNM 175, HAW 141
UNM vs HAW Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UNM
T. Fa'avae
(QB)
o166.5 Passing Yards
185.47 OVER
PROJECTION
+19.0
DIFFERENCE
24.74%
EV
|
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|
RUSHING YARDS
UNM
S. Humphrey
(RB)
o79.5 Rushing Yards
92.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.8
DIFFERENCE
26.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
HAW
T. Uiliata
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
41.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.2
DIFFERENCE
25.55%
EV
|
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|
RECEIVING YARDS
UNM
B. George
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
43.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.2
DIFFERENCE
19.38%
EV
|
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Recent Form Trends
Under is 5-0 in Rainbow Warriors last 5 games overall.
Lobos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Lobos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-0 in Rainbow Warriors last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Lobos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Rainbow Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Rainbow Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
ROI Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.
UNM vs HAW Top User Picks
'rladish' is picking New Mexico to cover (-14.5)
rladish is #10 on picking games that New Mexico is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +2450 units on the season.
'kermitfrog' is picking Hawai'i to cover (+14.5)
kermitfrog is #3 on picking games that Hawai'i is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'DIEASU' is picking New Mexico to cover (-14.5)
DIEASU is #6 on picking games that New Mexico is in with a record of (3-2-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'sportsdool1123' is picking New Mexico to cover (-13.5)
sportsdool1123 is #6 on picking games that Hawai'i is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +2850 units on the season.
'nbahoops' is picking Hawai'i to cover (+14.5)
nbahoops is #7 on picking games that Hawai'i is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +2850 units on the season.
'gasman6320' is picking Hawai'i to cover (+14.5)
gasman6320 is #7 on picking games that New Mexico is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'Paintedface' is picking Hawai'i to cover (+14.5)
Paintedface is #8 on picking games that Hawai'i is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +2850 units on the season.
'lsbellmom' is picking Hawai'i to cover (+13.5)
lsbellmom is #9 on picking games that Hawai'i is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +2850 units on the season.