Aidan Chiles Rushing Yards Props • Michigan State
A. Chiles
quarterback QB • Michigan State
Michigan @ Michigan State Picks & Props
MICH vs MSU Picks
NCAAF PicksUnderwood averaged 28.9 rushing yards per game, so his prop of 16.5 rushing yards stands out as a discount. The Spartans have a very poor defense overall (128th in success rate allowed) and struggle against the run (111th in rushing success rate), primarily due to a soft defensive front (133rd in power success rate).
Rushing Yards
BU
Bryce Underwood o16.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
True freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood has had a few growing pains this season, but there is no denying his raw talent. He is also an incredible athlete and can make huge plays in the running game when the coaching staff allows him to do so. Michigan State ranks in the bottom half of the country in team sacks. If they are unable to get sacks on Bryce Underwood, then he should not need to take off too often to easily hit this number. There will be plenty of pass plays for Michigan in this game and I think he scrambles a few times to get this even if he gets no designed runs.
Spread
MSU +14.5 (-125)
Brad Powers
Betting Analyst
The scoreboard didn't reflect how well Michigan State played in their last game. Asking a true freshman QB to lay two touchdowns, in a rivalry game, on the road at night is a lot to ask and I like the Spartans to play one of their better games of the season.
Receptions
AM
Andrew Marsh u4.5 Receptions (-108)
Projection 3.9178 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
DM
Donaven McCulley u3.5 Receptions (-114)
Projection 3.2952 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
OK
Omari Kelly o3.5 Receptions (+104)
Projection 3.6525 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
BU
Bryce Underwood u1.5 TD Passes (-110)
Projection 1.236 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
BU
Bryce Underwood u196.5 Passing Yards (+110)
Projection 184.2888 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
AC
Aidan Chiles u195.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 187.5007 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
OK
Omari Kelly o37.5 Receiving Yards (-102)
Projection 55.1523 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
SM
Semaj Morgan o20.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 30.4917 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JV
Jack Velling o19.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 28.4417 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
NM
Nick Marsh o55.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 64.2813 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
MICH vs MSU Consensus Picks
MICH vs MSU Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Makhi Frazier Rushing Yards Props • Michigan State
M. Frazier
running back RB • Michigan State
Bryce Underwood Rushing Yards Props • Michigan
B. Underwood
quarterback QB • Michigan
MICH vs MSU Trends
Michigan Trends
Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+15.90 Units / 23% ROI)
MICH
MSU
Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
MICH
MSU
Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
MICH
MSU
Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan have only covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.15 Units / -27% ROI)
MICH
MSU
Michigan has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 7 games (-3.90 Units / -47% ROI)
Michigan has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 1 of their last 5 away games (-3.55 Units / -62% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-3.50 Units / -25% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan has only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 5 away games (-3.40 Units / -62% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State Trends
Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 57% ROI)
Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
MICH
MSU
Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (-8.50 Units / -21% ROI)
MICH
MSU
Michigan State have not covered the Spread in any of their last 7 games at home (-7.70 Units / -100% ROI)
MICH
MSU
Michigan State has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 12 games (-6.90 Units / -52% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State has only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.90 Units / -11% ROI)
MICH
MSU
Michigan State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.35 Units / -38% ROI)
Over
Under
MICH vs MSU Top User Picks
Michigan Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gunner28 | 8-2-0 | +6750 |
| 2 | unique11 | 8-2-0 | +5700 |
| 3 | eddynelf | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 4 | dahnguyen | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| 5 | TJJohnson03 | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| 6 | kowalabear | 6-4-0 | +4650 |
| 7 | fsu93 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 8 | Varart | 8-2-0 | +4400 |
| 9 | muttsanders99 | 7-3-0 | +4350 |
| 10 | BillyJack | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| All Wolverines Money Leaders | |||
Michigan State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartrevic | 7-3-0 | +6800 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 7-3-0 | +6750 |
| 3 | spiveytexas61 | 9-1-0 | +5850 |
| 4 | jazzmatazz | 9-1-0 | +5700 |
| 5 | TNSweep | 7-3-0 | +5300 |
| 6 | Nittanymac5800 | 7-3-0 | +5250 |
| 7 | dissident | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| 8 | TNtoTX | 5-5-0 | +4650 |
| 9 | kermitfrog | 8-2-0 | +4650 |
| 10 | SteelCrush | 9-0-1 | +4500 |
| All Spartans Money Leaders | |||