Missouri State 5th Conference USA7-5

New Mexico State 10th Conference USA4-8

9:00PM ET Oct 22, 2025

Missouri State @ New Mexico State Picks & Props

Picks |Consensus |Props |Trends |Top User Picks

MOSU vs NMSU Picks

NCAAF Picks

Passing Yards

LF Logan Fife u263.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Best Odds

u250.5 -130

Pick made: one month ago

u247.5 -113

u250.5 -130

u245.5 -107

Missouri State Bears grade out poorly against the pass (121st in EPA per pass, 125th in passing success rate allowed), but those numbers are inflated due to matchups against USC (second in EPA per pass), SMU (24th), and Western Kentucky (seventh in pass rate).

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Receptions

Donovan Faupel o4.5 Receptions (+122)

Projection 4.5842 (Over)

Best Odds

o4.5 +122

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 +122

Receptions

Ronnel Johnson o3.5 Receptions (+112)

Projection 3.688 (Over)

Best Odds

o3.5 +112

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

o3.5 +112

TD Passes

Logan Fife u1.5 TD Passes (-125)

Projection 1.3531 (Under)

Best Odds

u1.5 -125

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -130

u1.5 -125

u1.5 -130

Passing Yards

Logan Fife u245.5 Passing Yards (-107)

Projection 203.42 (Under)

Best Odds

u250.5 -130

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

u247.5 -113

u250.5 -130

u245.5 -107

Receiving Yards

Donovan Faupel o51.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Projection 63.2645 (Over)

Best Odds

o51.5 -113

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

o51.5 -113

o54.5 +100

o51.5 -117

Receiving Yards

Ronnel Johnson o43.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Projection 53.6704 (Over)

Best Odds

o43.5 -113

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

o43.5 -113

o46.5 -130

o48.5 -115

Rushing Yards

Shomari Lawrence o53.5 Rushing Yards (-117)

Projection 60.1826 (Over)

Best Odds

o53.5 -117

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

o54.5 -113

o54.5 -115

o53.5 -117

Rushing Yards

Kadarius Calloway o54.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 57.6605 (Over)

Best Odds

o52.5 -113

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

o52.5 -113

o52.5 -115

o54.5 -115

Spread

64% picking New Mexico State

36% 36%

64% 64%

Total Picks MOSU 316, NMSU 560

MOSU vs NMSU Props

Player

Prop

Projection

Best Odds

Projection Rating

S. Lawrence

running back RB • Missouri State

Prop

53.5

Rushing Yards

Projection

60.18

Best Odds

Over

-117

caesars

Prop

53.5 Rushing Yards

Projection

60.18

Best Odds

Over

-117

Over

Under

o54.5 -115

u54.5 -115

o53.5 -117

u53.5 -114

o54.5 -113

u54.5 -113

Projection Rating

K. Calloway

running back RB • New Mexico State

Prop

52.5

Rushing Yards

Projection

57.66

Best Odds

Over

-113

fanduel

Prop

52.5 Rushing Yards

Projection

57.66

Best Odds

Over

-113

Over

Under

o52.5 -115

u52.5 -115

o54.5 -115

u54.5 -115

o52.5 -113

u52.5 -113

Projection Rating

MOSU vs NMSU Trends

Missouri State Trends

Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

Missouri State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)

MOSU

NMSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

Missouri State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.03 Units / 50% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

Missouri State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)

MOSU

NMSU

Game Line - Spread - 1st Period

Missouri State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)

Missouri State has not hit the Game Total Over in any of their last 5 games (-5.50 Units / -100% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

Missouri State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.85 Units / -65% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.65 Units / -63% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

Missouri State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (-2.00 Units / -20% ROI)

MOSU

NMSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

Missouri State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 5 games (-1.55 Units / -27% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

New Mexico State Trends

New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)

MOSU

NMSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)

MOSU

NMSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.05 Units / 25% ROI)

MOSU

NMSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)

MOSU

NMSU

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.60 Units / -30% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

New Mexico State has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 3 games (-3.55 Units / -100% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.80 Units / -14% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

New Mexico State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.71 Units / -13% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

New Mexico State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.39 Units / -11% ROI)

MOSU

NMSU

Game Line - Spread - 1st Period

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Missouri State Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	elmer58	9-1-0	+4950
2	accxmass	8-2-0	+4400
3	Lemondropkid00	9-1-0	+4200
4	lenny2098	7-3-0	+4150
5	revnecro1273	9-1-0	+3950
6	Ed333	7-3-0	+3750
7	griz55	6-4-0	+3650
8	BlindLuck	8-2-0	+3300
9	kmackie	7-3-0	+3300
10	CastlemontDB91	6-4-0	+3200
All Bears Money Leaders

New Mexico State Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	Hoosier	5-5-0	+5700
2	Jets73	6-4-0	+4800
3	Alexandr1966	7-3-0	+4750
4	pittsburghphil	6-4-0	+4700
5	ledbone	9-0-0	+4500
6	aront1	8-0-0	+4000
7	dwynf	8-2-0	+3850
8	JFT1010	6-4-0	+3700
9	Ollywood	6-4-0	+3700
10	deweyay9	6-4-0	+3650
All Aggies Money Leaders

Top User Picks

Missouri State @ New Mexico State Picks & Props

MOSU vs NMSU Picks

MOSU vs NMSU Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

64% picking New Mexico State

MOSU vs NMSU Props

MOSU vs NMSU Trends

Missouri State Trends

Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Missouri State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)

Missouri State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.03 Units / 50% ROI)

Missouri State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)

Missouri State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)

Missouri State has not hit the Game Total Over in any of their last 5 games (-5.50 Units / -100% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.85 Units / -65% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.65 Units / -63% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (-2.00 Units / -20% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 5 games (-1.55 Units / -27% ROI)

New Mexico State Trends

New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.05 Units / 25% ROI)

New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.60 Units / -30% ROI)

New Mexico State has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 3 games (-3.55 Units / -100% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.80 Units / -14% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.71 Units / -13% ROI)

New Mexico State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.39 Units / -11% ROI)

MOSU vs NMSU Top User Picks

User Picks

Missouri State Team Leaders

New Mexico State Team Leaders

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Missouri State @ New Mexico State Picks & Props

MOSU vs NMSU Picks

MOSU vs NMSU Consensus Picks

64% picking New Mexico State

MOSU vs NMSU Props

Shomari Lawrence Rushing Yards Props • Missouri State

Kadarius Calloway Rushing Yards Props • New Mexico State

MOSU vs NMSU Trends

Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Missouri State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)

Missouri State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.03 Units / 50% ROI)

Missouri State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)

Missouri State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)

Missouri State has not hit the Game Total Over in any of their last 5 games (-5.50 Units / -100% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.85 Units / -65% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.65 Units / -63% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (-2.00 Units / -20% ROI)

Missouri State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 5 games (-1.55 Units / -27% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.05 Units / 25% ROI)

New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.60 Units / -30% ROI)

New Mexico State has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 3 games (-3.55 Units / -100% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.80 Units / -14% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.71 Units / -13% ROI)

New Mexico State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.39 Units / -11% ROI)

MOSU vs NMSU Top User Picks

Missouri State Team Leaders

New Mexico State Team Leaders

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