Calgary Picks
3rd in
(3 - 4)
Next Game
CGY @ OTT Picks
CFL Picks
o62.5 (-110)
Expect plenty of points between these two teams after they combined for 78 last week, with QBs Vernon Adams Jr. and McLeod Bethel-Thompson each eclipsing 300 passing yards. Calgary is 11-3 to the Over this season, while the Redblacks have gone Over 62.5 in three of their last four contests. Both rank as the CFL’s two worst teams in points allowed per game, so I’m comfortable playing this total up to 64.5.
CGY -2.5 (-110)
Calgary piled up nearly 500 yards of net offence in last week’s 40-38 win over Ottawa, but penalties nearly proved costly, with the Stamps taking 14 compared to just four for the Redblacks. With Vernon Adams Jr. and the Stamps scoring unit still averaging 32.4 points per game, there’s plenty to like about Calgary heading into the rematch, especially against a Redblacks defence surrendering a league-worst 35.8 points per contest. Calgary also runs the ball at the second-highest rate in the CFL, and Ottawa’s front seven has struggled against the ground game, allowing 5.8 yards per carry. Calgary was listed at -7.5 ahead of last week’s matchup against Ottawa and is now down to -2.5, but I’m not going to overreact given the inordinate number of flags thrown against Dave Dickenson’s squad. With the Stamps still motivated and Ottawa reeling from another heartbreaking loss, I’m backing Calgary all the way to -6.5.
Ottawa is allowing a 116.1 passer rating this season, which sets up well for Adams, who was in the thick of the MOP race before suffering a concussion in Week 11. Before last week’s two-point loss to Calgary, five of Ottawa’s previous six defeats came by double digits, and I expect a much more convincing Stampeders win this time around.
