Final OT Oct 13
MIA 118 -4.5 o227.0
ATL 119 4.5 u227.0
Final Oct 13
SA 124 2.5 o235.5
IND 108 -2.5 u235.5
Final Oct 13
WAS 120 5.0 o219.5
NY 103 -5.0 u219.5
Final Oct 13
DAL 114 -4.0 o236.0
UTA 101 4.0 u236.0
Memphis 8th West48-38
Golden State 7th West53-41

Memphis @ Golden State Picks & Props

MEM vs GS Picks

NBA Picks
Total Steals
Stephen Curry logo Stephen Curry o1.5 Total Steals (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Since the All-Star break, Curry has averaged 1.4 steals and has recorded two or more steals in four of his last eight games. That streak is punctuated by a five-steal performance against Memphis on April 1. In his three games against the Grizzlies, Curry has 10 total steals (5, 1, 4) against a Memphis offense that allowed 8.6 steals against on the season (20th). Looking at the four meetings between the Grizzlies and Warriors this season, those encounters were played at a very speedy pace rating of higher than 105.0, which means plenty of possessions – and chances for steals. Memphis averaged 17.8 turnovers in those four games with Golden State and had the ball stolen a total of 44 times (10 from Curry) – 11 steals per game. Curry’s steals props have bounced between 0.5 and 1.5 steals with juice swinging drastically depending on the number. However, he has surpassed those steal totals six times in his last 10 games.

Total Rebounds
Desmond Bane logo Desmond Bane o5.5 Total Rebounds (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Bane had six or more boards in four of his final five games of the regular season and player projections for Tuesday’s Play-In clash call for another 6-plus rebound effort from Bane. There will be plenty of chances for rebounds, given the pace of play between these teams. In their four matchups in the regular season, the Grizzlies and Warriors posted a collective pace rating of 105.13 – an uptick from Memphis’s NBA leading tempo of 103.69. Both sides attempted more shots than their season averages in those head-to-encounters. Given the number of possessions and potential field goal attempts, there’s a natural increase in misses. Add in playoff-style intensity on defense and this game is ripe for rebounding opportunities. The stocky Bane will be able to muscle Golden State’s guards on the glass, given the Warriors role out Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski and Buddy Hield in the backcourt.  

3-Pointers Made
Ja Morant logo Ja Morant o2.5 3-Pointers Made (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Morant made three or more triples in four of those final five contests, including a 5-for-8 outing from distance against Golden State on April 1. Of course, much was made of Morant’s 3-point celebrations in this span, and I expect him to toss a few “grenades” in the Chase Center on Tuesday. Morant has upped his activity from downtown in recent months, with his 3-point attempts jumping from 4.9 to 6.5 shots from deep per outing over the past 25 games. That’s increased further, with Morant taking almost eight shots from beyond the arc in his last 15 contests, making an average of 2.3 3-pointers in those 15 games. Morant didn’t hesitate to let it fly from distance in his previous postseason appearances, averaging six attempts from long range in the playoffs and connecting on more than two of those triples.

Total Assists
Draymond Green logo Draymond Green o6.5 Total Assists (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Green averages 5.3 assists on the year and has been much more active moving the basketball since the Jimmy Butler trade. Going back to that blockbuster deal in February, Green is handing out 5.8 assists with 11.5 potential assists showing in his advanced stats. His passing prowess peaks in the postseason, with Green averaging at least six assists per playoff game over his last six postseasons. Memphis ranks 18th in assist-to-FGM rate and not only watched Green record 12 assists in that last meeting but also gave up seven dimes to the mercurial forward back in November.

1st Quarter MoneyLine
Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM 1st Quarter (+140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

While Memphis rested its starters on Sunday, Golden State lost in OT with its starters logging hefty minutes. On two days turnaround, that wear should cost the Warriors, especially since they have been in must-win mode for a full week now, playing four games in six days culminating with that loss on Sunday. That is true for everyone at this point in the season, but Memphis countered the fatigue on Sunday. Not to mention, fatigue is more of a worry for a team as old as GSW is. Oh, and as banged up as GSW is. Memphis needs to take advantage of its rest and health edges as early as possible. Finding a first-quarter moneyline at such plus-money is a bit of a surprise.

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MEM vs GS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

67% picking Memphis vs Golden State to go Over

67%
33%

Total PicksMEM 496, GS 242

Total
Over
Under

MEM vs GS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

Ja Morant
J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds

The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Ja Morant will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

Ja Morant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Ja Morant will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

Moses Moody
M. Moody
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds

Moses Moody has averaged 26.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Moses Moody will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Moses Moody

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Moses Moody has averaged 26.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Moses Moody will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

Vince Williams Jr.
V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a strong matchup. The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a strong matchup. The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Zach Edey
Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds

Zach Edey has successfully made 78.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% higher than he's made overall this season while playing away from home. Zach Edey has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a strong one for 3-point shots; when Green is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 41.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile). The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Zach Edey

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Zach Edey has successfully made 78.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% higher than he's made overall this season while playing away from home. Zach Edey has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a strong one for 3-point shots; when Green is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 41.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile). The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

Buddy Hield
B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds

Buddy Hield has attempted 8.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 17.8% more than he's made over the course of the season. Buddy Hield should see a rise in output for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Buddy Hield has attempted 8.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 17.8% more than he's made over the course of the season. Buddy Hield should see a rise in output for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

Stephen Curry
S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (17.0). The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (17.0). The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

Jaren Jackson Jr.
J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds

Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

Draymond Green
D. Green
center C • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds

Draymond Green has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. Among all players in the league, Draymond Green slots into the 25th percentile for free-throw ability with a bad 69.1% rate this year. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Zach Edey has been remarkably low this year (2.8 foul shots per game when they are at home: 25th percentile).

Draymond Green

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Draymond Green has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. Among all players in the league, Draymond Green slots into the 25th percentile for free-throw ability with a bad 69.1% rate this year. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Zach Edey has been remarkably low this year (2.8 foul shots per game when they are at home: 25th percentile).

Scotty Pippen Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

Scotty Pippen Jr.
S. Pippen Jr.
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds

Scotty Pippen Jr. has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Scotty Pippen Jr. ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Scotty Pippen Jr. has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Scotty Pippen Jr. ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

Desmond Bane
D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane measures in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Desmond Bane stands to suffer a reduction in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane measures in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Desmond Bane stands to suffer a reduction in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

Brandin Podziemski
B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 baskets per game (lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a hard matchup. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 baskets per game (lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a hard matchup. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

Santi Aldama
S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.0 per game this year. The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.0 per game this year. The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Gary Payton II Points Scored Props • Golden State

Gary Payton II
G. Payton II
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.26
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Gary Payton II has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

Kevon Looney
K. Looney
center C • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.18
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Kevon Looney has gone over 4.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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