Miami @ Denver Picks & Props

Tyler Herro has made 51.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Tyler Herro has attempted 7.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyler Herro has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (12.4). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 22.3 free throw attempts per game.

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 65.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 9.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Aaron Gordon has sunk 58.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 26.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Aaron Gordon has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's played in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one; when the Heat are on the road, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (16.3). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 22.3 free throw attempts per game.

Jeff Green has made 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 70.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Jeff Green has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's made overall this year. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (29th-most in the league).

The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.3). The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. The matchup against the Nuggets may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (30th-most in the NBA).

The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one; when the Heat are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (17.6). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.8 free throws per game over the last 20 games (30th-most in the league). Christian Braun will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increases player production in all stat categories.

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 25 games (9th-least in the NBA).

Max Strus has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Max Strus has converted a whopping 86.9% of his free throw attempts this season, a big improvement over his 78.5 mark last season.

Kyle Lowry has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (85th percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 25 games (9th-least in the NBA).

Bruce Brown has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one; when the Heat are on the road, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (16.3). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 22.3 free throw attempts per game.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bam Adebayo has averaged 40.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 22.6% more than he's made over the course of the season away from his home court.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 20.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jimmy Butler has sunk 1.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Jimmy Butler has tallied 39.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr. has gone over 10.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.