NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 4, 2026

Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC @ New York Knicks logo NY Wed, Mar 4 • 7:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Landry Shamet logo
Landry Shamet o8.5 Points Scored (-106)
Projection 10.03 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -106 DraftKings
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -106
o8.5  -112
o8.5  -110
 -
o8.5  -110
The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the New York Knicks.. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
-106 at DraftKings
Total Rebounds
OG Anunoby logo
OG Anunoby o4.5 Total Rebounds (+108)
Projection 5.28 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +108 FanDuel
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o4.5  -112
o4.5  -105
o4.5  +108
 -
o4.5  -114
The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the New York Knicks.. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
+108 at FanDuel
View 4 Picks
Charlotte Hornets logo CHA @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Wed, Mar 4 • 7:30 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Miles Bridges logo
Miles Bridges o12.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 15.09 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -119
o12.5  -110
o12.5  -122
 -
o12.5  -125
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
-110 at bet365
Total Rebounds
Payton Pritchard logo
Payton Pritchard o3.5 Total Rebounds (+130)
Projection 3.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +130 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o3.5  +110
o3.5  +130
o3.5  +112
 -
o3.5  +113
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
+130 at bet365
View 2 Picks
Utah Jazz logo UTA @ Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI Wed, Mar 4 • 7:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
IC
Isaiah Collier u13.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 11.28 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u13.5  -120
 -
 -
 -
With respect to treys, the Jazz's lackluster 33.0% rate of converted threes while playing away from home ranks 4th-fewest in the NBA this year.
-120 at bet365
Points Scored
KF
Kyle Filipowski o13.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 15.49 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -114 DraftKings
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o13.5  -114
o13.5  -115
o13.5  -114
 -
o13.5  -118
Kyle Filipowski has registered 14.6 points per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.0 higher than he's registered overall this season on the road.. The Jazz have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.. The Jazz are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 5th-best in in the NBA away from home with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
-114 at DraftKings
View 3 Picks
Portland Trail Blazers logo POR @ Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM Wed, Mar 4 • 8:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
DC
Donovan Clingan u13.5 Points Scored (-107)
Projection 11.82 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -107 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u13.5  -107
u13.5  -112
u13.5  -114
 -
u13.5  -110
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 33.7% rate of drained threes settles in as the 2nd-weakest in the league this year.
-107 at DraftKings
Points Scored
Deni Avdija logo
Deni Avdija o19.5 Points Scored (-109)
Projection 21.73 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -109 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o19.5  -109
o20.5  -110
o19.5  -110
 -
o19.5  -113
In contrast to last year's 16.9 mark, Deni Avdija's points per game have risen this year to 23.6.. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (15.8).. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the league this year.. The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.. The Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
-109 at DraftKings
View 4 Picks
Atlanta Hawks logo ATL @ Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL Wed, Mar 4 • 9:30 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Kevin Porter Jr. logo
Kevin Porter Jr. o14.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 17.67 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -125
o14.5  -120
o14.5  -128
 -
o14.5  -125
In terms of three-point shots, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 40.5% rate of sunk threes as the home team comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.. The matchup against the Hawks is a positive one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 5th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.8).. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
-120 at bet365
Points Scored
Myles Turner logo
Myles Turner o9.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 11.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o10.5  -101
o9.5  -120
o10.5  +100
 -
o10.5  -105
In terms of three-point shots, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 40.5% rate of sunk threes as the home team comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
-120 at bet365
View 7 Picks
Indiana Pacers logo IND @ LA Clippers logo LAC Wed, Mar 4 • 10:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Andrew Nembhard logo
Andrew Nembhard u16.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 13.24 (Under)
Best Odds
u16.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u16.5  -114
u16.5  -112
u16.5  -118
 -
u16.5  -115
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 42.1% on shot attempts from the field (8th-weakest in the league) vs. the Clippers, marking this as a hard matchup.. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the away team with only 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Clippers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
-112 at bet365
Points Scored
Kris Dunn logo
Kris Dunn o6.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 8.25 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -130 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o7.5  -119
o6.5  -130
o7.5  -125
 -
o7.5  -127
The Clippers have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.. The LA Clippers are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pacers).
-130 at bet365
View 3 Picks

What are Covers’ NBA Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ NBA analysts have over 25 years of experience making smart basketball picks from the season’s opening tip to the NBA Finals.

We find the best NBA odds and share our picks and NBA best bets for the biggest games of the basketball season — right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their NBA betting

Free NBA Expert Picks

Making smart NBA picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert NBA picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Free NBA Point Spread Picks

NBA point spreads even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even pick as possible. Our analysts research stats, matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best edge possible before making your NBA point spread bet.

Free NBA Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make NBA Over/Under picks throughout the basketball season. Betting on NBA Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total score of a game will be Over or Under a specific total set by oddsmakers.

Free NBA Moneyline Picks

Betting on the NBA moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the spread, or a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value NBA moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free NBA Prop Picks

There’s always value in NBA props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From player points to total threes made, expect well-researched NBA prop picks from Covers.

NBA Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus NBA picks highlight the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free NBA contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Basketball Betting Site

If you’re ready to bet on NBA picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best NBA betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

NBA Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NBA picks?

Covers NBA picks generally release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of NBA picks do we make?

Covers provides free NBA picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.