Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 6, 2026
CHI
@
PHO
Thu, Mar 5 • 9:00 PM ET
u225.0 (-110)
Chicago’s rotation is limited such that a bench piece is now counted on to initiate the offense. That is going badly, and has directly led to five straight Unders.
NO
@
SAC
Thu, Mar 5 • 10:00 PM ET
NO -5.5 (-110)
Some teams are not tanking. They are just bad. To be clear, just being bad is preferable to tanking. Even bad basketball can yield quality results, while clearing out a rotation of all trusted contributors largely produces only deflating losses. The Sacramento Kings are tanking. The New Orleans Pelicans are just bad.
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LAL
@
DEN
Thu, Mar 5 • 10:00 PM ET
LeBron James o5.5 Total Rebounds (+122)
LeBron James has upped his efforts in the rebounding department in recent outing, bringing down six or more boards in four of his last five games. James has seen 9.2 rebounding chances over those past five outings and projections range from 5.9 to 7.4 rebounds tonight.
Austin Reaves o18.5 Points Scored (-125)
Austin Reaves is trading at -125 for the Over 18.5 points, and that’s a number I’m comfortable attacking as I price it closer to -195. With the Nuggets missing Peyton Watson and Aaron Gordon, they simply don’t have enough defensive options to handle the trio of LeBron James, Luka Doncic, and Austin Reaves. Christian Braun will likely draw the primary assignment on Doncic as Denver’s top perimeter defender, which leaves the Nuggets without many reliable options to slow down Reaves. That creates a clear advantage for him, especially when he’s working off Doncic. When defenses pressure Doncic, Reaves becomes the natural release valve, allowing him to attack weaker defenders in space. Given the limited defensive personnel Denver will have available Thursday, the matchup dynamics set up very well for Reaves to find scoring opportunities.
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