Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Nov. 15, 2026
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
118.58 |
-6.5 -140 
|
o222.5 -115 
|
-320 
|
|
106.44 |
+6.5 +110
|
u223.5 -108 
|
+280
|
Houston
Washington
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
121.67 |
-8.5 -105
|
o232.5 -115
|
-320
|
|
112.99 |
+8.5 -109
|
u233.5 -110 
|
+275 
|
Atlanta
Milwaukee
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
116.96 |
-11.5 -104
|
o222.5 -114
|
-468 
|
|
107.27 |
+11.5 -107
|
u223.5 -110
|
+430
|
Oklahoma City
Sacramento
HOU
@
WAS
Sun, Nov 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Kyshawn George o1.5 3-Pointers Made (-187)
George has started every one of Washington's games this season, averaging career highs in minutes (33.1), triples (2.5) and three-point percentage (42.1). He's canned 2+ triples in nine of 13 appearances and could get some open looks with both Marcus Smart and Fred VanVleet out.
Reed Sheppard o14.5 Points Scored (+103)
Trade to 15.5. Marcus Smart is serving a suspension, and Fred VanVleet is out for rest, which means Sheppard should get a spot start tonight. In his only game played with both Smart and FVV sidelined, Sheppard started and logged 19 points in 30 minutes. The third-year man is averaging only 20 minutes per game, but he’s scoring 16.4 points per 36 minutes.
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ATL
@
MIL
Sun, Nov 15 • 8:00 PM ET
MIL (+234)
I price the Bucks closer to a 31% underdog, making Atlanta at 75% a clear negative-EV play. Milwaukee is now 1-12 and becoming increasingly difficult to back, but I'll stick with the numbers and take them at 26%. Backing Atlanta at that price is the type of negative-EV trade that can do serious damage to your transparency report over the long run.
OKC
@
SAC
Sun, Nov 15 • 9:00 PM ET
Domantas Sabonis o11.5 Total Rebounds (-127)
Playable up to 12.5 at a better price. Despite Sacramento's struggles, Sabonis is digging in on the boards, averaging 13.2 RPG to paper over Maxime Raynaud's absence and cashing this Over in three of his past four contests.
Isaiah Hartenstein o10.5 Total Rebounds (-130)
Playable up to 57%. Hartenstein's rebounding is a big reason why OKC ranks second in the league in defensive boards per game (the Kings sit 26th in that category). He's averaging 11.7 RPG this month, and he's cashed this Over in eight of his last 11 contests.
HOU
@
MIA
Mon, Nov 16 • 7:30 PM ET
MIA (-101)
I price the Miami Heat closer to 53%, largely because Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo can give Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun problems defensively, forcing Houston's supporting cast to shoulder more of the offensive creation.
GS
@
NO
Mon, Nov 16 • 8:00 PM ET
NO (+137)
Give me the Pelicans at 40%, as I price them closer to 47% underdogs. Golden State lacks the size and frontcourt scoring to exploit New Orleans' interior defense, while Herb Jones can provide strong point-of-attack defense on Yaxel Lendeborg. Draymond Green will also struggle to contain Zion without a true rim protector behind him.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
The table above displays our sports betting computer’s picks based on the last 100 NBA games played. It gives basketball bettors a data-backed look into which games and NBA odds could hold some hidden value.
It can be tricky to nail down the “perfect” bet, but our expert predictions will teach you how to bet on basketball matchups with confidence.
Following the computer picks blindly is not a surefire way to make gains when betting on NBA action. If anything, it's merely a guide to place bettors in the best position possible to achieve success, whether you're betting the moneyline, spread, or OVER/UNDER.
We use statistical analysis and machine-learning projections to make our selections, but don't forget to do your own research to find the best value!
Betting the moneyline in the NBA means you're picking the winner of the game, no strings attached. If the team you bet on emerges victorious, then so do you.
| Team | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | -120 |
| Golden State Warriors | +150 |
In this example, the Los Angeles Lakers are the favorites to win the game as their moneyline odds have a minus sign (-) in front of the number. The favorites will have the minus sign present, and the underdogs will have a plus sign (+).
Betting $100 on the Lakers would pay you $180, your original $100 bet, plus $80 in winnings. If you bet $100 on the Warriors, since oddsmakers believe they're less likely to win this game, the payout would be $250, with a profit of $150.
Betting the spread in the NBA provides more wiggle room to bettors for games that may appear one-sided on paper. Rather than simply picking the winner like you would with the moneyline, you can instead pick the point differential to give underdogs more of a fighting chance with your wagers.
| Team | Spread |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | -4.5 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | +4.5 (-110) |
In this example, the Lakers are favored to not only win the game against the Warriors, but to do so by at least 4.5 points. As a gentle reminder, the minus sign (-) determines the favorite for the game in question.
Should the Lakers win by five points, that would mean Los Angeles "covered the spread," resulting in a win for those who bet in their favor. However, if the Lakers won by four points, that would mean the Warriors "covered the spread" instead.
The -110 betting line enclosed in parentheses is fairly common for spread bets. That is the number bettors would follow to determine potential gains and losses, just like the moneyline. Odds are usually equal on both sides of the line, but can range from -105 to -120 (or more) in either direction.
An Over/Under bet in the NBA has nothing to do with which team wins the game. Instead, all that matters is the total combined score for that game and whether it exceeds a preset number established by oddsmakers.
| Team | Total |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | O 240.5 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | U 240.5 (-110) |
In this example, oddsmakers have set the total score for the Lakers and Warriors at 240.5 points.
As a bettor, you can select the Over if you believe the two teams will combine to score more than 240.5 points, 241 or more, or bet the Under if they'll score fewer than 240.5 points, 240 or fewer.
If the set number was a whole number like 240 points, for example, and the two teams combined to score exactly that amount, then the result would be a push and you'd get your money back on the wager.
Our moneyline picks, point spread predictions, and Over/Under estimates are solid tools to start betting with. Don't glance over other tools, though, especially NBA analytics. You can find a collection of resources below, ranging from databases to NBA betting tips; browse through them and find the best value on every NBA betting site.
Covers NBA picks generally release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free NBA picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
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