Houston 3rd West10-3

Miami 4th East7-6

7:30PM ET · Nov 16, 2026

Houston vs Miami Picks & Props

HOU vs MIA Picks

NBA Picks

Moneyline

MIA (-101)

I price the Miami Heat closer to 53%, largely because Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo can give Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun problems defensively, forcing Houston's supporting cast to shoulder more of the offensive creation.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

HOU vs MIA Props

There are no projections available for this matchup at the moment.

Recent Form Trends

Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as an underdog.
Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 road games.

ROI Trends

Miami Trends

The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.35 Units / 35% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+14.65 Units / 22% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.34 Units / 24% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 10% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.10 Units / -48% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-18.70 Units / -28% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.20 Units / -29% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-13.50 Units / -31% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-13.10 Units / -38% ROI)

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Houston Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	stan53	7-3-0	+5750
2	fat italian	9-1-0	+5300
3	pureporkchop	6-4-0	+5150
4	doomsday07	8-2-0	+4400
5	fishter923	6-4-0	+4150
6	snuggles	7-3-0	+4100
7	lsbellmom	6-4-0	+4100
8	pokersquirrel	7-3-0	+4100
9	pittsburghphil	9-1-0	+3950
10	salmag3	9-1-0	+3950
All Rockets Money Leaders

Miami Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	Gary64	7-3-0	+4650
2	biggestgm	6-4-0	+4600
3	griffeyisgod	9-1-0	+3950
4	skunty4	8-2-0	+3850
5	kaitospapa	7-3-0	+3550
6	JayAcosta20	8-2-0	+3550
7	dcgmt	8-2-0	+3550
8	Enelra18	7-3-0	+3550
9	steveo1904	9-1-0	+3400
10	willyums12	8-2-0	+3400
All Heat Money Leaders

Top User Picks