NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 1, 2026

Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Sun, Mar 1 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Tyrese Maxey logo Tyrese Maxey o26.5 Points Scored (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Tyrese Maxey has been on a heater, and I expect his elite scoring to continue on the road against a familiar opponent. Maxey has scored 27+ in eight straight games, including five straight on the road. He’s reached that mark in 39 of 57 games overall and 21 of 27 away from Philadelphia. He's also gone for 40, 33, and 32 across his last three matchups at TD Garden. 

Points Scored
Neemias Queta logo
Neemias Queta o8.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 10.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In contrast to last year's 4.9 clip, Neemias Queta's points per game have spiked this year to 9.8.. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the 76ers).. The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
View 4 Picks
Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC @ Dallas Mavericks logo DAL Sun, Mar 1 • 8:00 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 5 Computer Picks
Total
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Dallas Mavericks logo o234.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Naturally, we think of OKC first for defense, but SGA and Co. also boast the league’s third-most prolific offense at 119.5 PPG, so I’m buying into a shootout. The Over is 8-2 in the Thunder’s last 10 contests, and it’s 16-11 this year when OKC is a road favorite. Shai’s return shifts the visitors’ rotation back into more natural roles, and they’re facing a Dallas squad that’s allowed 120+ points in eight of its past nine outings. Sure, the Mavs’ injuries put a dent in their playmaking, but they’ve still hit the Over in three of their last four games.

Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC -10.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Oklahoma City has covered four of its last five and continues to play with energy on both ends. The Thunder force turnovers, push tempo, and keep scoring even when the bench is in. With Dallas thin and struggling to defend consistently, OKC is in a good spot to win comfortably and cover the number.

View 7 Picks
New Orleans Pelicans logo NO @ LA Clippers logo LAC Sun, Mar 1 • 9:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 9 Computer Picks
Rebounds and Assists
Saddiq Bey logo Saddiq Bey o8.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Saddiq Bey will be the main man for the Pelicans tonight. with three other starters likely out.

He averaged 10 assists plus rebounds in February, notching Over 8.5 in four of his last six. The Clippers will clamp down on Bey defensively, but he'll still make an impact in other ways.

Points Scored
Bryce McGowens logo
Bryce McGowens u11.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 5.76 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With respect to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 112.5 points per game when playing on the road ranks 7th-worst in the NBA this year.. The matchup vs. the Clippers is a hard one for field goal attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 5th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.6).. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
View 10 Picks
Sacramento Kings logo SAC @ Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL Sun, Mar 1 • 9:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL -12.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

This is just the Lakers' fifth double-digit line as a favorite after going 3-1 against the spread in the previous four. The Sacramento Kings, meanwhile, have covered just two of their last six as a double-digit underdog.

Points Scored
Precious Achiuwa logo
Precious Achiuwa o10.5 Points Scored (-128)
Projection 13.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Precious Achiuwa has totaled 17.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.9 more than he's totaled overall this year.. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Lakers, designating this as a positive matchup.. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.. The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
View 3 Picks

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