Boston @ Detroit Picks & Props
BOS vs DET Picks
NBA Picks
It may be a regular-season game on January 19, but this matchup carries far more weight than most games on Monday’s slate. It features the top two teams in the Eastern Conference by both standings and power rating. Cade Cunningham’s minutes and usage should be elevated, as Detroit will be eager to prove it belongs at the top of the East. This sets up as a game where Cunningham doesn’t need to be ultra-efficient — the volume should be there. Boston is comfortable forcing star players into repeated one-on-one scoring attempts while focusing on shutting down role players. With the Celtics constantly switching and conceding mid-range jumpers, Cunningham should consistently find the shots he prefers. I think this prop should be priced much closer to -165.
Sam Hauser is coming off a 30-point performance against the Hawks, scoring all of his points from beyond the arc. He went 10-for-21 from three, and while the volume alone jumps off the page, so does his recent playing time — Hauser has logged 29+ minutes in each of his last five games. Detroit’s wing defenders prioritize help defense, which leaves them vulnerable to weak-side threes, exactly the shots Hauser looks to take with a full green light. I price Hauser much closer to -200 to clear 10.5 points, and that projection even assumes Payton Pritchard is available despite being listed as questionable.
The Celtics and Pistons are two of the best defenses in the Association, and I’m expecting a low-scoring matchup at Little Caesars Arena. Boston has hit the Under in seven of its last 10, and Detroit has done so in nine straight. The Pistons have allowed just 97 points across their last six home games, hitting the Under in each contest.
BOS vs DET Consensus Picks
41% picking Boston vs Detroit to go Under
Total PicksBOS 296, DET 202
BOS vs DET Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
Neemias Queta
(C)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
22.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Isaiah Stewart
(C)
u8.5 Points Scored
7.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
16.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jalen Duren
(C)
u15.5 Points Scored
14.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
13.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jaylen Brown
(SF)
u29.5 Points Scored
27.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
11.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Derrick White
(SG)
o17.5 Points Scored
18.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Ausar Thompson
(SF)
o8.5 Points Scored
9.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Anfernee Simons
(SG)
u13.5 Points Scored
13.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
3.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Cade Cunningham
(PG)
u24.5 Points Scored
24.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Sam Hauser
(PF)
o9.5 Points Scored
9.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Duncan Robinson
(SF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
-4.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Tobias Harris
(PF)
u12.5 Points Scored
12.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Payton Pritchard
(PG)
o14.5 Points Scored
14.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Tobias Harris
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
10.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Derrick White
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
4.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jalen Duren
(C)
o9.5 Total Rebounds
10.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
3.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Sam Hauser
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
2.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ausar Thompson
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
2.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Isaiah Stewart
(C)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
0.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jaylen Brown
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
-0.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Payton Pritchard
(PG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Neemias Queta
(C)
o7.5 Total Rebounds
8.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Cade Cunningham
(PG)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Anfernee Simons
(SG)
u2.5 Total Rebounds
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-5.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Duncan Robinson
(SF)
u2.5 Total Rebounds
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Sam Hauser
(PF)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
10.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Anfernee Simons
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Tobias Harris
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Derrick White
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
3.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
2.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jaylen Brown
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
1.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Payton Pritchard
(PG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Duncan Robinson
(SF)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-2.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Cade Cunningham
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-6.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Isaiah Stewart
(C)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Payton Pritchard
(PG)
u5.5 Total Assists
4.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
22.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Cade Cunningham
(PG)
u9.5 Total Assists
8.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
16.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Isaiah Stewart
(C)
o0.5 Total Assists
1.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
12.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Duncan Robinson
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
12.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Neemias Queta
(C)
o0.5 Total Assists
1.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
9.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jalen Duren
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
8.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Derrick White
(SG)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jaylen Brown
(SF)
o4.5 Total Assists
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Anfernee Simons
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.46%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ausar Thompson
(SF)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Tobias Harris
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Sam Hauser
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-11.51%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
BOS vs DET Trends
BOS vs DET Top User Picks
Boston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geo Lazos | 7-3-0 | +13800 |
| 2 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +11950 |
| 3 | sportsdool1123 | 7-3-0 | +11250 |
| 4 | attitudes73 | 7-3-0 | +9450 |
| 5 | moman | 7-3-0 | +9400 |
| 6 | POUTANASLAYER | 4-6-0 | +8830 |
| 7 | manomanomano551 | 7-3-0 | +8600 |
| 8 | Smmiou07 | 4-6-0 | +8400 |
| 9 | RalphMcGill | 8-2-0 | +8100 |
| 10 | Dogface253 | 7-3-0 | +7950 |
| All Celtics Money Leaders | |||
Detroit Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chuluckus | 4-6-0 | +12550 |
| 2 | gutterrat69 | 7-3-0 | +10150 |
| 3 | sweeton60 | 5-5-0 | +9250 |
| 4 | manomanomano551 | 4-6-0 | +9200 |
| 5 | JayAcosta20 | 7-3-0 | +9050 |
| 6 | Patzer24 | 7-3-0 | +8150 |
| 7 | bigjohn867 | 6-4-0 | +8000 |
| 8 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +7760 |
| 9 | odie1956 | 8-2-0 | +7500 |
| 10 | PMaeson | 9-1-0 | +7450 |
| All Pistons Money Leaders | |||