Final May 12
BOS 113 -5.0 o209.0
NY 121 5.0 u209.0
Final May 12
MIN 117 -4.5 o201.5
GS 110 4.5 u201.5
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Denver @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver

Julian Strawther
J. Strawther
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Julian Strawther has successfully made 56.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 6.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on the road. Among all players in the league, Julian Strawther measures in the 75th percentile for three-point performance with an impressive 38.8% rate this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hawks).

Julian Strawther

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Julian Strawther has successfully made 56.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 6.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on the road. Among all players in the league, Julian Strawther measures in the 75th percentile for three-point performance with an impressive 38.8% rate this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hawks).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

Aaron Gordon
A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds

Aaron Gordon has made 54.6% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 93rd percentile for 3-point proficiency with a remarkable 47.1% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 77th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goal attempts (3rd-best in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Aaron Gordon has made 54.6% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 93rd percentile for 3-point proficiency with a remarkable 47.1% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 77th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goal attempts (3rd-best in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Dyson Daniels
D. Daniels
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds

Dyson Daniels has attempted 12.6 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Dyson Daniels places in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 33.8 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Dyson Daniels has attempted 12.6 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Dyson Daniels places in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 33.8 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

De'Andre Hunter
D. Hunter
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

De'Andre Hunter has successfully made 55.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

De'Andre Hunter has successfully made 55.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

Russell Westbrook
R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.6). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hawks). Russell Westbrook has attempted 3.6 free throws per game on the road this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.6). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hawks). Russell Westbrook has attempted 3.6 free throws per game on the road this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Jalen Johnson
J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds

The Hawks rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA at home this year.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

The Hawks rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA at home this year.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

Michael Porter
M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 7.3 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile for three-point shots made away from home, tallying 2.0 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (60.1%).

Michael Porter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 7.3 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile for three-point shots made away from home, tallying 2.0 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (60.1%).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

Christian Braun
C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Christian Braun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance across the board.

Christian Braun

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Christian Braun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance across the board.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Clint Capela
C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Clint Capela has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 40.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.0 foul shots per game (88th percentile).

Clint Capela

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Clint Capela has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 40.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.0 foul shots per game (88th percentile).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Trae Young
T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Trae Young comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young lands in the 97th percentile for foul shots scored, tallying a colossal 5.7 per game this year.

Trae Young

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

Among all players in the league, Trae Young comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young lands in the 97th percentile for foul shots scored, tallying a colossal 5.7 per game this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

Jamal Murray
J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Jamal Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Jamal Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

Nikola Jokić
N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.4
Best Odds
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Nikola Jokic ought to see a decline in production for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.4
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.4

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Nikola Jokic ought to see a decline in production for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Onyeka Okongwu
O. Okongwu
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu slots into the 82nd percentile for field goal effectiveness with an impressive 53.3% rate this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Onyeka Okongwu has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Among all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu slots into the 82nd percentile for field goal effectiveness with an impressive 53.3% rate this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Onyeka Okongwu has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Zaccharie Risacher
Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds

Zaccharie Risacher has converted 40.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Zaccharie Risacher has converted 40.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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