OKC -6.0 o222.0
IND 6.0 u222.0
Milwaukee 5th East48-34
Miami 10th East37-45

Milwaukee @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Terry Rozier
T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier registers in the 75th percentile for 3-point ability playing at home with a stellar 42.6% rate this year. Terry Rozier has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.8 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Bucks are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.5%). As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe with the home court advantage: 5th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.5 foul shots per game.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier registers in the 75th percentile for 3-point ability playing at home with a stellar 42.6% rate this year. Terry Rozier has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.8 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Bucks are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.5%). As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe with the home court advantage: 5th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.5 foul shots per game.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

Duncan Robinson
D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Damian Lillard
D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds

The Heat have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

The Heat have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Andre Jackson Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Andre Jackson
A. Jackson
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Andre Jackson Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 50.0% more than he's made in all games this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Andre Jackson

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Andre Jackson Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 50.0% more than he's made in all games this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Taurean Prince
T. Prince
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds

Taurean Prince has sunk 56.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). Among all players in the league, Taurean Prince ranks in the 100th percentile for foul-shot ability while playing away from home with a great 100.0% rate this year. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Taurean Prince has sunk 56.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). Among all players in the league, Taurean Prince ranks in the 100th percentile for foul-shot ability while playing away from home with a great 100.0% rate this year. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

Tyler Herro
T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds

The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

AJ Green Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

AJ Green
A. Green
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, AJ Green comes in at the 100th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a phenomenal 100.0% rate this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

AJ Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, AJ Green comes in at the 100th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a phenomenal 100.0% rate this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Giannis Antetokounmpo
G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.3
Best Odds

Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted 21.5 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 18.8 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 99th percentile for drawing fouls, totaling a massive 8.0 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.3

Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted 21.5 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 18.8 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 99th percentile for drawing fouls, totaling a massive 8.0 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year.

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

Jaime Jaquez
J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 83.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe with the home court advantage: 5th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.5 foul shots per game. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 83.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe with the home court advantage: 5th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.5 foul shots per game. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

Haywood Highsmith
H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, marking this as a positive matchup. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe with the home court advantage: 5th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.5 foul shots per game. Haywood Highsmith stands to see a rise in output across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, marking this as a positive matchup. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe with the home court advantage: 5th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.5 foul shots per game. Haywood Highsmith stands to see a rise in output across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has attempted 16.5 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has made 63.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 35.0% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 87th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a monstrous 4.2 foul shot attempts per game when playing at home this year. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe with the home court advantage: 5th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.5 foul shots per game.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Bam Adebayo has attempted 16.5 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has made 63.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 35.0% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 87th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a monstrous 4.2 foul shot attempts per game when playing at home this year. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe with the home court advantage: 5th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.5 foul shots per game.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler
J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds

In contrast to last year's 43.2% mark, Jimmy Butler's three-point ability has tailed off this year to 22.9%. The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

In contrast to last year's 43.2% mark, Jimmy Butler's three-point ability has tailed off this year to 22.9%. The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Brook Lopez
B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds

Brook Lopez has successfully made 6.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.1 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup with Bam Adebayo slots into only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs burying a massive 1.4 threes per game this year.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Brook Lopez has successfully made 6.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.1 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup with Bam Adebayo slots into only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs burying a massive 1.4 threes per game this year.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Bobby Portis
B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds

Bobby Portis has converted 5.6 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Bobby Portis has converted 58.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Bobby Portis has converted 5.6 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Bobby Portis has converted 58.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%).

Gary Trent Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Gary Trent
G. Trent
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gary Trent Jr. has sunk 57.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 17.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

Gary Trent

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Gary Trent Jr. has sunk 57.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 17.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The Bucks have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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