Boston @ Dallas Picks & Props

In contrast to last season's 5.2 rate, Payton Pritchard's points per game have risen this season to 9.0. Payton Pritchard has successfully made a whopping 1.7 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.0 mark last year. The Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.3 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home. The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

Jrue Holiday has made 59.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.1% higher than he's made in all games this season. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Daniel Gafford has converted 80.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks's excellent 116.5 points per game at home rates 10th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Al Horford is a good one; he has given up a massive 15.0 points per game when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Daniel Gafford will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises stat production across the board.

P.J. Washington has attempted 7.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home. P.J. Washington has averaged 37.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks's excellent 116.5 points per game at home rates 10th-most in the NBA this year. P.J. Washington is expected to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Derrick White has made 3.5 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Derrick White has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8). The Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has converted 90.6% of his free throw attempts on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Dereck Lively II has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (89th percentile). The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 25.0 shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.1 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Jayson Tatum has attempted 9.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 43.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup. The Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has converted 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Al Horford has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 7.2 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The clash with Daniel Gafford registers in the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs hitting a whopping 34.5% of their 3-point shots this year. The Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Al Horford has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. Boston is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (38.1%). The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 11.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing on the road. Jaylen Brown has made 45.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 12.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing away from home. Jaylen Brown has played 39.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Josh Green has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Sam Hauser has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Maxi Kleber has gone over 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.