Miami 8th Eastern Conference46-36
Philadelphia 7th Eastern Conference47-35

Miami @ Philadelphia props

Wells Fargo Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has attempted 9.9 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.1 mark last season. Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.0 threes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.7 rate last year. Duncan Robinson has tallied 28.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 75th percentile. In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have compiled 18.4 points per game (6th-most in the league) against the 76ers, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Duncan Robinson has attempted 9.9 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.1 mark last season. Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.0 threes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.7 rate last year. Duncan Robinson has tallied 28.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 75th percentile. In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have compiled 18.4 points per game (6th-most in the league) against the 76ers, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-122

Nikola Jovic has sunk 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's made over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Nikola Jovic has tallied 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 45.6% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the 76ers, creating a positive matchup. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Nikola Jovic has sunk 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's made over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Nikola Jovic has tallied 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 45.6% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the 76ers, creating a positive matchup. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Under
-109

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 0.8 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the 76ers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls. Tyler Herro ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 0.8 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the 76ers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls. Tyler Herro ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 11.3 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the 76ers, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Jimmy Butler will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 11.3 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the 76ers, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Jimmy Butler will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 62.5% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 30.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 28.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.1% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 62.5% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 30.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 28.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.1% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Harris
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

Tobias Harris has converted 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Tobias Harris has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Tobias Harris has converted 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Tobias Harris has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-125

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 59.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.0% higher than he's converted overall this year. Bam Adebayo has made 60.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 30.4% higher than he's converted overall this year while playing on the road. Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Joel Embiid is a positive one; he has given up a massive 15.8 points per game with the home court advantage when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 59.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.0% higher than he's converted overall this year. Bam Adebayo has made 60.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 30.4% higher than he's converted overall this year while playing on the road. Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Joel Embiid is a positive one; he has given up a massive 15.8 points per game with the home court advantage when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The 76ers check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-pointers. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year, which should reduce plays for the 76ers.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

The 76ers check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-pointers. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year, which should reduce plays for the 76ers.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry rates in the 82nd percentile for three-point effectiveness with a phenomenal 38.7% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year. Kyle Lowry will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production for all stats.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry rates in the 82nd percentile for three-point effectiveness with a phenomenal 38.7% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year. Kyle Lowry will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production for all stats.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have compiled 18.4 points per game (6th-most in the league) against the 76ers, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have compiled 18.4 points per game (6th-most in the league) against the 76ers, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre Jr.
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 16.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 3.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 29.4 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 16.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 3.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 29.4 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Joel Embiid Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

J. Embiid
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Joel Embiid has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 19.8 mark last season. Joel Embiid has sunk 49.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.6% more than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Joel Embiid comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a positive one for field goals; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 61.0% of their field goals (100th percentile). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

Joel Embiid

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.5
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.5

Joel Embiid has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 19.8 mark last season. Joel Embiid has sunk 49.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.6% more than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Joel Embiid comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a positive one for field goals; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 61.0% of their field goals (100th percentile). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

Tyrese Maxey Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Maxey
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

In comparison to last year's 15.6 rate, Tyrese Maxey's shots taken have spiked this year to 20.3 per game. Tyrese Maxey has attempted 8.1 shots from downtown per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.4 rate last year. Tyrese Maxey has averaged 37.2 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

Tyrese Maxey

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

In comparison to last year's 15.6 rate, Tyrese Maxey's shots taken have spiked this year to 20.3 per game. Tyrese Maxey has attempted 8.1 shots from downtown per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.4 rate last year. Tyrese Maxey has averaged 37.2 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic