MIN 7.5 o217.5
OKC -7.5 u217.5
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Washington 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-67
MNMT, BSN, NBALP

Miami @ Washington props

Capital One Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Terry Rozier
T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier registers in the 95th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, averaging 7.2 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have scored 21.8 points per game (27th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, making this a positive matchup for offensive productivity. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier registers in the 95th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, averaging 7.2 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have scored 21.8 points per game (27th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, making this a positive matchup for offensive productivity. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Washington

Tyus Jones
T. Jones
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds

Tyus Jones has converted an impressive 5.1 baskets per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.7 rate last season. Out of all players in the league, Tyus Jones rates in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, registering only 0.8 fouls per game on his home court this year. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year.

Tyus Jones

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Tyus Jones has converted an impressive 5.1 baskets per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.7 rate last season. Out of all players in the league, Tyus Jones rates in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, registering only 0.8 fouls per game on his home court this year. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year.

Bilal Coulibaly Points Scored Props • Washington

Bilal Coulibaly
B. Coulibaly
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds

Bilal Coulibaly has attempted 9.2 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 20.0 free throws per game when the Miami Heat are on the road this year (4th-least in the league).

Bilal Coulibaly

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Bilal Coulibaly has attempted 9.2 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 20.0 free throws per game when the Miami Heat are on the road this year (4th-least in the league).

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Washington

Kyle Kuzma
K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds

Kyle Kuzma has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year. The Wizards are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The Washington Wizards check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Kyle Kuzma has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year. The Wizards are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The Washington Wizards check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Washington

Daniel Gafford
D. Gafford
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds

Daniel Gafford has converted 67.7% of his shot attempts from the field on his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Daniel Gafford has converted 67.7% of his shot attempts from the field on his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

Haywood Highsmith
H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Wizards are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.6). The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards). Haywood Highsmith has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup against the Washington Wizards may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.4

The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Wizards are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.6). The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards). Haywood Highsmith has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup against the Washington Wizards may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Washington

Jordan Poole
J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds

Jordan Poole has tallied 29.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 76th percentile. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a strong matchup. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jordan Poole

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Jordan Poole has tallied 29.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 76th percentile. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a strong matchup. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Washington

Deni Avdija
D. Avdija
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds

Deni Avdija has converted 82.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 43.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Deni Avdija

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Deni Avdija has converted 82.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 43.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler
J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds

Jimmy Butler has made 62.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 19.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has averaged 32.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (27th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Jimmy Butler has made 62.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 19.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has averaged 32.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (27th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

Jaime Jaquez Jr.
J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 4.9 baskets per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.8 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have tallied 30.1 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 4.9 baskets per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.8 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have tallied 30.1 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

Tyler Herro
T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds

Tyler Herro has attempted 17.7 shots from the field per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 97th percentile for 3-point shots drained while playing away from home, putting up 3.1 per game this year. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Tyler Herro has attempted 17.7 shots from the field per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 97th percentile for 3-point shots drained while playing away from home, putting up 3.1 per game this year. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Corey Kispert Points Scored Props • Washington

Corey Kispert
C. Kispert
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds

Corey Kispert has made 1.9 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Corey Kispert has converted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made overall this year at home.

Corey Kispert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Corey Kispert has made 1.9 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Corey Kispert has converted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made overall this year at home.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup with Daniel Gafford places in the 100th percentile with opposing starting Cs making an enormous 47.3% of their treys this year. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Bam Adebayo has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup with Daniel Gafford places in the 100th percentile with opposing starting Cs making an enormous 47.3% of their treys this year. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

Caleb Martin
C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds

Caleb Martin has made 64.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 25.5% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing on the road. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have tallied 30.1 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards). Caleb Martin has made 90.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Caleb Martin has made 64.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 25.5% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing on the road. The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have tallied 30.1 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards). Caleb Martin has made 90.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Josh Richardson Points Scored Props • Miami

Josh Richardson
J. Richardson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.88
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Josh Richardson has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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