Boston 1st Eastern Conference64-18
Milwaukee 3rd Eastern Conference49-33
TSN, TNT

Boston @ Milwaukee props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Derrick White has sunk 2.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Derrick White has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 26th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (6.2). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics. The Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Derrick White has sunk 2.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Derrick White has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 26th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (6.2). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics. The Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-144
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-144
Projection Rating

Sam Hauser has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have totaled 32.3 3-point attempts per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics. The Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Sam Hauser

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Sam Hauser has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have totaled 32.3 3-point attempts per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics. The Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Malik Beasley has converted 3.3 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing at home. The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year. Malik Beasley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 50.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this season while at home. Malik Beasley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Malik Beasley has converted 3.3 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing at home. The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year. Malik Beasley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 50.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this season while at home. Malik Beasley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Under
+100

The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year. On their home court, the Bucks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the NBA). Jayson Tatum will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year. On their home court, the Bucks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the NBA). Jayson Tatum will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has attempted 10.9 shots per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jrue Holiday has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.6 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have put up 21.7 points per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, making this a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Jrue Holiday has attempted 10.9 shots per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jrue Holiday has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.6 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have put up 21.7 points per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, making this a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 87th percentile, putting up an enormous 19.8 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.0 minutes per game this year. The number of treys converted against Brook Lopez has been quite high (0.9 per game) when he is at home and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics. The Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 87th percentile, putting up an enormous 19.8 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.0 minutes per game this year. The number of treys converted against Brook Lopez has been quite high (0.9 per game) when he is at home and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics. The Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.7
Best Odds
Under
-105

Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled 14.5 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, making this a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Bucks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Celtics (continuing possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.7
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.7

Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled 14.5 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, making this a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Bucks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Celtics (continuing possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year, opposing squads have scored 111.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year. Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 12.5% more than he's converted overall this season playing at home. This year, their opposition has attempted 19.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year, opposing squads have scored 111.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year. Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 12.5% more than he's converted overall this season playing at home. This year, their opposition has attempted 19.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Damian Lillard has scored 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.7 more than he's scored overall this season at home. Damian Lillard has successfully made 4.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year at home. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 3.0 3-pointers per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Damian Lillard has scored 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.7 more than he's scored overall this season at home. Damian Lillard has successfully made 4.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year at home. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 3.0 3-pointers per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-114

Brook Lopez has attempted 5.1 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.3 minutes per game this year. The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are playing at home, the other team has shot 45.8% on shots from the field (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The number of three-point shots attempted against Kristaps Porzingis has been remarkably high (3.1 per game) when playing on the road and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Brook Lopez has attempted 5.1 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.3 minutes per game this year. The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are playing at home, the other team has shot 45.8% on shots from the field (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The number of three-point shots attempted against Kristaps Porzingis has been remarkably high (3.1 per game) when playing on the road and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-112

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 95th percentile for shots, putting up 18.2 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has sunk 46.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics. The Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 95th percentile for shots, putting up 18.2 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has sunk 46.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Boston Celtics. The Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Khris Middleton has successfully made 7.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Khris Middleton has made 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Khris Middleton has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7).

Khris Middleton

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Khris Middleton has successfully made 7.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Khris Middleton has made 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Khris Middleton has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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