Chicago White Sox Picks
2nd in American League Central
(25 - 23)
Next Game
Wed, May 20
16:10 ET
CHW @ SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Total Hits
Luke Raley u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 park in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day.. When it comes to plate discipline, Luke Raley's ability is quite weak, posting a 3.93 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 18th percentile.
Total Hits
Josh Naylor u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Naylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 park in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day.. The standard deviation of Josh Naylor's launch angle this year (30.2°) is in the 20th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's game... and even more favorably, Hancock has a large platoon split.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Jarred Kelenic o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Given Emerson Hancock's large platoon split, Jarred Kelenic will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Total Bases
Sam Antonacci o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Samuel Antonacci's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Samuel Antonacci is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Samuel Antonacci will hold the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's matchup... and even better, Hancock has a large platoon split.. Samuel Antonacci has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Andrew Benintendi o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Hancock has a large platoon split.. Andrew Benintendi pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Andrew Benintendi's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 19.8% to 23.1%.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Because of Emerson Hancock's large platoon split, Munetaka Murakami will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Munetaka Murakami pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Tristan Peters o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Considering Emerson Hancock's large platoon split, Tristan Peters will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Tristan Peters pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Tristan Peters has been hot of late, whalloping 2 HRs over the past 7 days.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
Total Home Runs
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
