Boston Red Sox

MLB Player Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game expects the lowest temperature on the slate at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for pitchers. Batting from the same side that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Aaron Judge will be in a tough position in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.

Roman Anthony is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Roman Anthony can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Roman Anthony has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Roman Anthony with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carlos Rodon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Rafael Devers will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand today. Batters such as Austin Wells with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Dobbins who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 20.5° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's matchup. Trent Grisham pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Trent Grisham's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.64 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins today. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Kristian Campbell will have an edge today. Kristian Campbell has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Kristian Campbell tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Over the past week, Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph in recent games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand today. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Anthony Volpe has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Volpe has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph average.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Abraham Toro will get to bat from his strong side against Carlos Rodon in this game. Abraham Toro pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team playing today. Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Romy Gonzalez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Carlos Narvaez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team playing today.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 41.9% to 60.4%. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 60.4% on the season to 71.4% over the past 7 days. DJ LeMahieu has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 figure is a fair amount lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Marcelo Mayer has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.