Boston Red Sox

3rd in American League East (53 - 50)

Next Game

Sun, Jul 26 13:35 ET

TOR @ BOS Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.
Total Bases
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
Projection 0.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks.. Over the last 14 days, Daulton Varsho's 21.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
George Springer logo
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+243)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast data, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. With a 40.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Daulton Varsho finds himself in the 99th percentile for power.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

61% picking Boston

39%
61%

Total PicksTOR 71, BOS 110

Moneyline
TOR
BOS
Moneyline
Total

45% picking Toronto vs Boston to go Under

55%
45%

Total PicksTOR 54, BOS 44

Total
Over
Under

TOR @ BOS · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR +119 moneyline
TOR PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR +119 moneyline

PROJECTION

TOR PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.42% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+124
Polymarket logo
TOTAL
Toronto Blue Jays logo Boston Red Sox logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Toronto Blue Jays logo Boston Red Sox logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.69% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -110
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR +1.5 spread
0.18 PROJECTION
-1.3 DIFFERENCE
1.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-1.3 DIFFERENCE
1.67% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -168
Polymarket logo
TOTAL HITS
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +180
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Seigler in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. This year, Anthony Seigler has been pinch hit for in 24% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Willson Contreras will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Masataka Yoshida has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Masataka Yoshida's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.6-mph figure last year has decreased to 89.5-mph.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Davis Schneider logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Schneider (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Davis Schneider logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Schneider (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Davis Schneider is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Myles Straw is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. By putting up a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Wilyer Abreu is ranked in the 24th percentile.

u0.5 +175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

u0.5 +180
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Andruw Monasterio is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Andruw Monasterio encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tough challenge in today's game.. From last season to this one, Ceddanne Rafaela's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.5 mph to 89.4 mph.

u0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer in today's matchup.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 0%.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Carlos Narvaez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20%.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 difference.

o0.5 -119
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Luis Urias is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.32% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 -263
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL HITS
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-9.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-9.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ernie Clement is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game.. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 -280
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

o1.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
10% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
10% EV

ANALYSIS

Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u1.5 -190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Andruw Monasterio's 87.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.. Placing in the 78th percentile, Andruw Monasterio sports a .308 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

o1.5 +183
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u1.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.00 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.2% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.

u1.5 -190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +115
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.99 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.3% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer in today's matchup.

u1.5 -185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +149
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.41% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Willson Contreras pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +121
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Carlos Narvaez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20%.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 difference.

o1.5 +225
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
2.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
2.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Luis Urias is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u1.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 16th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Myles Straw is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u1.5 -400
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Caleb Durbin has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° figure over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Anthony Seigler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Anthony Seigler has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Seigler will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +625
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.87% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run talent, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks.. Over the last 14 days, Daulton Varsho's 21.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.

o0.5 +950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 92-mph over the past week.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.. George Springer has been unlucky this year, compiling a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .355 — a .048 discrepancy.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93-mph over the last two weeks.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Ernie Clement ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.12% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.3% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This year, Masataka Yoshida has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Davis Schneider logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Schneider (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Davis Schneider logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Schneider (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Davis Schneider is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand today.. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. Alejandro Kirk has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 94.9-mph in the past two weeks.

o0.5 +870
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Ranger Suarez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
R. Suarez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ranger Suarez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
R. Suarez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ranger Suarez to throw 72 pitches today (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19% underlying K%.. It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) behind the plate today.. Fenway Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ranger Suarez's four-seamer usage has risen by 7% from last year to this one (14.7% to 21.7%) .

u4.5 -137
Caesars logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Kevin Gausman logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Gausman (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kevin Gausman logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Gausman (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.75% EV

ANALYSIS

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) behind the plate today.. Fenway Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Kevin Gausman has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.6% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

u5.5 -130
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
14.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
14.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

o0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +184
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.

o0.5 +194
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +219
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast data, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. With a 40.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Daulton Varsho finds himself in the 99th percentile for power.

o0.5 +243
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand today.. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +220
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +224
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Carlos Narvaez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20%.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 difference.

o0.5 +263
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Andruw Monasterio's 87.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.. Placing in the 78th percentile, Andruw Monasterio sports a .308 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

o0.5 +219
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.19% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Willson Contreras pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +157
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Luis Urias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.. Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Luis Urias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 11% to 22.2%.. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Urias's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

o0.5 +336
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Anthony Seigler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Anthony Seigler has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Seigler will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +195
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Caleb Durbin has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° figure over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +216
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Myles Straw will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.. Myles Straw has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Myles Straw's launch angle recently (39.7° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.9° seasonal mark.. Myles Straw has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .043 difference.

o0.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game.. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 17.1% on the season to 25.8% in the last 14 days.

o0.5 +230
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
12.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
12.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +100
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -120
Kalshi Sports logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Carlos Narvaez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20%.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 difference.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast data, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. With a 40.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Daulton Varsho finds himself in the 99th percentile for power.

o1.5 +122
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand today.. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Andruw Monasterio's 87.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.. Placing in the 78th percentile, Andruw Monasterio sports a .308 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

o1.5 +117
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.31% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Willson Contreras pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 -122
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +101
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 -130
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.35% EV

ANALYSIS

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game.. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 17.1% on the season to 25.8% in the last 14 days.

o1.5 -135
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Luis Urias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.. Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Luis Urias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 11% to 22.2%.. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Urias's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Anthony Seigler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Anthony Seigler has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Seigler will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -107
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Caleb Durbin has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° figure over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +100
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Myles Straw will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.. Myles Straw has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Myles Straw's launch angle recently (39.7° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.9° seasonal mark.. Myles Straw has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .043 difference.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR +119 moneyline
TOR PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR +119 moneyline

PROJECTION

TOR PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.42% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+124
Polymarket logo
TOTAL
Toronto Blue Jays logo Boston Red Sox logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Toronto Blue Jays logo Boston Red Sox logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.69% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -110
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR +1.5 spread
0.18 PROJECTION
-1.3 DIFFERENCE
1.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-1.3 DIFFERENCE
1.67% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -168
Polymarket logo
TOTAL HITS
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +180
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Seigler in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. This year, Anthony Seigler has been pinch hit for in 24% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Willson Contreras will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Masataka Yoshida has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Masataka Yoshida's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.6-mph figure last year has decreased to 89.5-mph.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Davis Schneider logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Schneider (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Davis Schneider logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Schneider (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Davis Schneider is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Myles Straw is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. By putting up a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Wilyer Abreu is ranked in the 24th percentile.

u0.5 +175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

u0.5 +180
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Andruw Monasterio is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Andruw Monasterio encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tough challenge in today's game.. From last season to this one, Ceddanne Rafaela's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.5 mph to 89.4 mph.

u0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer in today's matchup.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 0%.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Carlos Narvaez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20%.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 difference.

o0.5 -119
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Luis Urias is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.32% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 -263
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL HITS
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-9.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-9.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ernie Clement is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game.. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 -280
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

o1.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
10% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
10% EV

ANALYSIS

Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u1.5 -190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Andruw Monasterio's 87.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.. Placing in the 78th percentile, Andruw Monasterio sports a .308 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

o1.5 +183
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u1.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.00 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.2% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.

u1.5 -190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +115
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.99 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.3% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer in today's matchup.

u1.5 -185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +149
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.41% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Willson Contreras pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +121
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Carlos Narvaez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20%.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 difference.

o1.5 +225
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
2.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
2.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Luis Urias is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u1.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 16th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Myles Straw is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u1.5 -400
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Caleb Durbin has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° figure over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Anthony Seigler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Anthony Seigler has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Seigler will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +625
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.87% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run talent, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks.. Over the last 14 days, Daulton Varsho's 21.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.

o0.5 +950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 92-mph over the past week.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.. George Springer has been unlucky this year, compiling a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .355 — a .048 discrepancy.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93-mph over the last two weeks.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Ernie Clement ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.12% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.3% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This year, Masataka Yoshida has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Davis Schneider logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Schneider (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Davis Schneider logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Schneider (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Davis Schneider is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand today.. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. Alejandro Kirk has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 94.9-mph in the past two weeks.

o0.5 +870
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Ranger Suarez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
R. Suarez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ranger Suarez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
R. Suarez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ranger Suarez to throw 72 pitches today (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19% underlying K%.. It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) behind the plate today.. Fenway Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ranger Suarez's four-seamer usage has risen by 7% from last year to this one (14.7% to 21.7%) .

u4.5 -137
Caesars logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Kevin Gausman logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Gausman (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kevin Gausman logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Gausman (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.75% EV

ANALYSIS

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) behind the plate today.. Fenway Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Kevin Gausman has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.6% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

u5.5 -130
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
14.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
14.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

o0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +184
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.

o0.5 +194
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +219
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast data, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. With a 40.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Daulton Varsho finds himself in the 99th percentile for power.

o0.5 +243
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand today.. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +220
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +224
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Carlos Narvaez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20%.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 difference.

o0.5 +263
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Andruw Monasterio's 87.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.. Placing in the 78th percentile, Andruw Monasterio sports a .308 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

o0.5 +219
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.19% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Willson Contreras pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +157
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Luis Urias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.. Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Luis Urias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 11% to 22.2%.. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Urias's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

o0.5 +336
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Anthony Seigler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Anthony Seigler has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Seigler will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +195
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Caleb Durbin has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° figure over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +216
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Myles Straw will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.. Myles Straw has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Myles Straw's launch angle recently (39.7° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.9° seasonal mark.. Myles Straw has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .043 difference.

o0.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game.. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 17.1% on the season to 25.8% in the last 14 days.

o0.5 +230
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
12.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
K. Okamoto (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
12.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +100
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
George Springer logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
G. Springer (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -120
Kalshi Sports logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Carlos Narvaez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20%.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 difference.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Daulton Varsho logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
D. Varsho (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast data, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. With a 40.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Daulton Varsho finds himself in the 99th percentile for power.

o1.5 +122
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alejandro Kirk logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
A. Kirk (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand today.. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Andruw Monasterio logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Monasterio (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Andruw Monasterio's 87.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.. Placing in the 78th percentile, Andruw Monasterio sports a .308 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

o1.5 +117
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.31% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Willson Contreras pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 -122
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +101
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 -130
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ernie Clement logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
E. Clement (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.35% EV

ANALYSIS

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game.. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 17.1% on the season to 25.8% in the last 14 days.

o1.5 -135
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Urias logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
L. Urias (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Luis Urias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.. Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Luis Urias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 11% to 22.2%.. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Urias's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Anthony Seigler logo
Boston Red Sox logo
A. Seigler (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Anthony Seigler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Anthony Seigler has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Seigler will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -107
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Caleb Durbin has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° figure over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +100
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Myles Straw logo
Toronto Blue Jays logo
M. Straw (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Myles Straw will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.. Myles Straw has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Myles Straw's launch angle recently (39.7° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.9° seasonal mark.. Myles Straw has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .043 difference.

o1.5 +160
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Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'dwynf' picks Toronto vs Boston to go Over (8.0)

dwynf is #10 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (43-33-4) and +9455 units on the season.

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'dwynf' picks Toronto at (110)

dwynf is #10 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (43-33-4) and +9455 units on the season.

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'Dalmeetz48' picks Toronto at (115)

Dalmeetz48 is #2 on picking games that Toronto is in with a record of (43-28-2) and +13405 units on the season.

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'Dalmeetz48' picks Toronto vs Boston to go Over (8.0)

Dalmeetz48 is #2 on picking games that Toronto is in with a record of (43-28-2) and +13405 units on the season.

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'glen2003' picks Boston at (-149)

glen2003 is #5 on picking games that Toronto is in with a record of (56-37-4) and +12315 units on the season.

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'glen2003' picks Toronto vs Boston to go Under (8.0)

glen2003 is #5 on picking games that Toronto is in with a record of (56-37-4) and +12315 units on the season.

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