Boston Red Sox Picks
5th in American League East
(27 - 38)
Next Game
Wed, Jun 10
13:10 ET
BOS @ TB Picks
MLB PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
57% of the time that Ryan Vilade has started against a southpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 stadium in the game for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest CF fences today.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team on the slate today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Austin Slater has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 82% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 stadium in the game for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. In today's game, Austin Slater is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile).. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Slater tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jake Bennett.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
57% of the time that Ryan Vilade has started against a southpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest CF fences today.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team on the slate today.. In the past week, Ryan Vilade's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40%.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Ceddanne Rafaela has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for LHB home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's game.. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ceddanne Rafaela has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 21%.. In the last two weeks, Ceddanne Rafaela's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21%.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.