Boston Red Sox Expert Picks & Predictions Today

Strikeouts Thrown

CE

Connelly Early u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)

Projection 5.3 (Under)

Best Odds

u5.5 +120

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u5.5 +120

-

u5.5 +108

u5.5 +110

u5.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connelly Early to throw 83 pitches in this game (11th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Connor Wong, the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The Athletics have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Connelly Early in this matchup.

+120 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +195

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +195

-

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nicholas Kurtz as baseball's 8th-best home run hitter.. Nicholas Kurtz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Nicholas Kurtz has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.. Nicholas Kurtz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 18% seasonal rate to 25% over the past two weeks.

+195 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +176

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +176

-

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +160

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand today.. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+176 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+146)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +146

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +146

-

o0.5 +130

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +130

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league.. Brent Rooker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Brent Rooker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connelly Early in today's matchup.. Brent Rooker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

+146 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Carlos Narvaez u1.5 Total Bases (-174)

Projection 0.8 (Under)

Best Odds

u1.5 -174

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -174

u0.5 +155

-

u0.5 +145

In Major League Baseball, the 2nd-highest fences are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The weather report projects the most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Among every team today, the best infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Carlos Narvaez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .325 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .293.

-174 at DraftKings

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Zack Gelof o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-163)

Projection 1.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -163

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -163

-

o1.5 +125

o0.5 -169

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Zack Gelof will have an advantage in today's game.. Zack Gelof hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Zack Gelof has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 97-mph.

-163 at DraftKings

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nick Kurtz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)

Projection 2 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +100

-

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nicholas Kurtz as baseball's 8th-best home run hitter.. Nicholas Kurtz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Nicholas Kurtz has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.. Nicholas Kurtz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 18% seasonal rate to 25% over the past two weeks.

+100 at DraftKings

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