LIVE Bottom 4th Sep 24
TB 3 +110 o8.0
BAL 0 -119 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 4th Sep 24
PIT 1 +114 o7.0
CIN 0 -124 u7.0
LIVE Bottom 2nd Sep 24
DET 0 +118 o7.5
CLE 0 -128 u7.5
LIVE Top 4th Sep 24
MIA 1 +137 o7.5
PHI 1 -149 u7.5
LIVE Top 2nd Sep 24
CHW 1 +308 o8.0
NYY 0 -352 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 2nd Sep 24
BOS 3 -119 o7.5
TOR 0 +110 u7.5
NYM +102 o7.0
CHC -110 u7.0
MIN +159 o7.0
TEX -174 u7.0
KC -106 o8.5
LAA -102 u8.5
LAD -136 o8.5
AZ +126 u8.5
COL +262 o7.5
SEA -296 u7.5
STL -112 o7.5
SF +103 u7.5
HOU -123 o9.0
ATH +114 u9.0
Final Sep 24
WAS 4 +168 o9.0
ATL 3 -184 u9.0
Final Sep 24
MIL 3 +126 o7.5
SD 1 -137 u7.5

Milwaukee @ San Diego Picks & Props

MIL vs SD Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

The San Diego Padres hand the ball to right-hander Randy Vásquez, who owns some of the worst underlying metrics in baseball. Entering this matchup, Vásquez ranks in the 11th percentile or lower in expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average (xBA), strikeout rate and barrel rate. Furthermore, the current Milwaukee Brewers roster boasts a .447 expected slugging percentage (xSLG) through 38 combined plate appearances against the right-hander.

Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+132)
Projection 0.81 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough matchup today.
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
Projection 0.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Posting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Gavin Sheets is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.
Total RBIs
Ramon Laureano logo
Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+147)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
Projection 0.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total Bases (-117)
Projection 1.25 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%.. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge today.. Jake Bauers has big-time HR ability (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez has a pitch-to-contact profile (15th percentile K%) — great news for Bauers.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+116)
Projection 2.07 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%.
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MIL vs SD Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus page to see all Consensus picks.

MIL vs SD Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • San Diego

Ryan O'Hearn
R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.02
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage today.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.02
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.02

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage today.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • San Diego

Freddy Fermin
F. Fermin
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.85
Best Odds

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Tobias Myers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin today. Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Freddy Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 93.3-mph over the past week.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.85
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.85

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Tobias Myers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin today. Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Freddy Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 93.3-mph over the past week.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Blake Perkins
B. Perkins
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Blake Perkins hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Grading out in the 81st percentile, Blake Perkins has posted a .315 BABIP since the start of last season.

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Blake Perkins hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Grading out in the 81st percentile, Blake Perkins has posted a .315 BABIP since the start of last season.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.05
Best Odds

Brice Turang's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.05
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.05

Brice Turang's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's game.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's game.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jackson Merrill
J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.11
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.11
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.11

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.03
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.03
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.03

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.17
Best Odds

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.17
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.17

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.336) suggests that Andrew Vaughn has had bad variance on his side this year with his .310 actual wOBA.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.336) suggests that Andrew Vaughn has had bad variance on his side this year with his .310 actual wOBA.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.83
Best Odds

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Isaac Collins has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate. With a .325 BABIP this year, Isaac Collins finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.83
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.83

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Isaac Collins has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate. With a .325 BABIP this year, Isaac Collins finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • San Diego

Ramon Laureano
R. Laureano
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Tobias Myers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ramon Laureano today.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Tobias Myers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ramon Laureano today.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.11
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Manny Machado is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough matchup today. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.11
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.11

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Manny Machado is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough matchup today. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.91
Best Odds

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Posting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Gavin Sheets is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.91
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.91

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Posting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Gavin Sheets is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.21
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 5th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.21
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.21

As it relates to his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 5th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
Best Odds

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Caleb Durbin has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 4.2% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the past two weeks. In the past two weeks, Caleb Durbin's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.2-mph in recent games.

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.92
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.92

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Caleb Durbin has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 4.2% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the past two weeks. In the past two weeks, Caleb Durbin's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.2-mph in recent games.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.12
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.12

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jose Iglesias
J. Iglesias
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.93
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Tobias Myers will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Iglesias today. Jose Iglesias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jose Iglesias has been unlucky this year, compiling a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .027 discrepancy.

Jose Iglesias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.93
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.93

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Tobias Myers will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Iglesias today. Jose Iglesias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jose Iglesias has been unlucky this year, compiling a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .027 discrepancy.

Bryce Johnson Total Hits Props • San Diego

Bryce Johnson
B. Johnson
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. The switch-hitting Bryce Johnson will bat from his worse side (0) today against Tobias Myers Bryce Johnson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Bryce Johnson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .288 mark is considerably lower than his .309 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryce Johnson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. The switch-hitting Bryce Johnson will bat from his worse side (0) today against Tobias Myers Bryce Johnson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Bryce Johnson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .288 mark is considerably lower than his .309 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers
J. Bauers
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Over the last 14 days, Jake Bauers has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.8% to 21.1%. Jake Bauers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph mark.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Over the last 14 days, Jake Bauers has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.8% to 21.1%. Jake Bauers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph mark.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Xander Bogaerts faces a tough challenge in today's game. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humidity on the schedule today at 78%. Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Xander Bogaerts faces a tough challenge in today's game. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

MIL vs SD Preview

Last Meeting ( Sep 22, 2025 ) Milwaukee 4, San Diego 5

Standing in the middle of a champagne-soaked San Diego Padres clubhouse Monday night, Ryan O'Hearn talked about the accomplishment of making the National League playoffs.

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