MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, May 19 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Miami Marlins logo o8.5 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The Over has been thriving in the recent matchups, going 6-0-1 over the last seven head-to-head meetings.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-133)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Atlanta has won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a loss.

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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bats such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Griffin Jax who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today.. Coby Mayo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph average.
Total Bases
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tyler O'Neill projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Tyler O'Neill has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .193 actual batting average.. Tyler O'Neill has recorded a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

The Tigers are in the middle of a brutal 2-10 stretch, and I don't think Keider Montero is the pitcher to pull them out of it. His fifth percentile chase rate mixes with the Guardians' fifth-best chase rate like oil and water. Meanwhile, Parker Messick can manage a Detroit offense that's 26th in batting average vs. lefties.

Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+192)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Matt McLain is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #10 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for lefty home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 94°.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, May 19 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Tyrone Taylor logo
Tyrone Taylor u0.5 Total Hits (+166)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in baseball for right-handed batting average.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. Tyrone Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.1% to 35.5%.
Total Hits
Austin Slater logo
Austin Slater u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Austin Slater has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in baseball for right-handed batting average.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Slater in today's game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, May 19 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for hitting on the slate.
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+269)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for hitting on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Starling Marte logo
Starling Marte u0.5 Total Hits (+151)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Starling Marte is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Starling Marte has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Typically, batters like Starling Marte who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez.
Total Bases
Marcelo Mayer logo
Marcelo Mayer o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Marcelo Mayer is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Kansas City Royals has just 1 same-handed RP.. In terms of his batting average, Marcelo Mayer has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .223 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .244.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto u0.5 Total Hits (+106)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Conforto's BABIP ability is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Conforto is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.. Based on Statcast metrics, Michael Conforto is in the 17th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .223.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. The 5th-deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Wrigley Field.. The league's 7th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Wrigley Field.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.. Michael Busch has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 17% rate last year has dropped to 9.8% this year.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Austin Martin logo
Austin Martin u0.5 Total Hits (+201)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 52°.. Lance McCullers Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Martin today.. Austin Martin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Martin's true offensive talent to be a .324, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .053 disparity between that mark and his actual .377 wOBA.. Since the start of last season, Austin Martin's 4.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 13th percentile among his peers.
Total Hits
Brooks Lee logo
Brooks Lee u0.5 Total Hits (+166)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Brooks Lee is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in the league.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 52°.. Based on Statcast metrics, Brooks Lee ranks in the 6th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .267.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, May 19 • 7:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Matthew Liberatore is an auto-fade with a -7 pitching run value, ranking in the bottom seventh percentile. That goes double vs. a Pittsburgh lineup that's seventh in batting average. While Mitch Keller isn't nearly as bad as his opposite number, the Pirates' bullpen has been gasoline to a fire in May with a 4.76 xFIP, 26th in the majors.

Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 13th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games today at 81%.. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, May 19 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jake McCarthy logo
Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 47°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Jake McCarthy are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.. Jake McCarthy's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last year has dropped to 85.4-mph.. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has experienced some positive variance given the .067 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.
Total Hits
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 47°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.. Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Joc Pederson has recorded a .223 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, May 19 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in MLB.. Mike Trout will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez in today's game... and even more favorably, Lopez has a large platoon split.. Mike Trout will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in MLB.. Because of Jacob Lopez's large platoon split, Jose Siri will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Siri has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 35.2° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (99th percentile).
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mitch Garver logo
Mitch Garver u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Mitch Garver is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Hits
Jhonny Pereda logo
Jhonny Pereda u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jhonny Pereda ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jhonny Pereda is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Since the start of last season, Jhonny Pereda has been pulled from the game early in 31% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.. T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Miguel Andujar logo
Miguel Andujar u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for pitching of all games on the slate today.. Emmet Sheehan will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Andujar in today's game.. Miguel Andujar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 13.2% to 10.1%.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll's launch angle this season (13°) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.8° angle last season.. Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year, putting up a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .358 — a .037 disparity.
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Casey Schmitt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Casey Schmitt has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.1% rate last year to 15% this year.
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