All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Oct. 7, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+101 
|
o7.5 -118 
|
+1.5 -225 
|
|
4.66 |
-115 
|
u8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 Divisional Playoff road games.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Newcombs last 5 starts on grass.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+375)
o0.5+375
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.40 |
+143
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -159
|
|
4.57 |
-162
|
u7.5 -125 
|
-1.5 +140
|
Tampa Bay
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games following a win.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
o1.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 Divisional Playoff road games.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.02 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a road underdog.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts with 15 or more days of rest.
CLE
@
CHW
Wed, Oct 7 • 4:00 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (-118)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
I'd play this up to 55% with the series shifting to Chicago for the first time in the playoffs and the White Sox one win away from moving on to the ALCS. Rate Field - where the Sox owned a 48-33 record this year - is going to be absolutely electric. It'll be a battle of the openers in Game 3. Sean Newcomb leads the charge for Chicago, and he's limited the Guardians to a .202 xBA and .289 xwOBA across a healthy 49 plate appearances against him. We'll take that. The Guardians counter with Daniel Espino, who's only logged 14 innings this season. The White Sox bullpen has been elite in the playoffs (1.04 ERA); I'll lean Chicago in the series clincher as they look to stay perfect in the postseason.
Total
o7.5 (-118)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I got this at 54%, with a fair probability of 58.5% and a projection of 9.3 runs. First, the hitting weather in Chicago is great for October, with temperatures near 80 degrees and 8-mph winds blowing out. Both sides will go with an opener, and Cleveland will have Joey Cantillo handle the bulk of the innings. Cantillo was on a heater before the postseason but has yet to pitch. The lefty had some ugly stretches this year before being moved into a piggyback role. The Guardians’ offense should do more damage than it has so far in the series after hitting just .115 and getting Sean Newcomb and a question mark after that. The Cleveland bats are due for more hits, and the White Sox should be able to touch the four-run mark today.
LAD
@
ATL
Wed, Oct 7 • 6:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Hernandez has been dangerous this postseason with a 62.5% hard-hit rate, 22.2% blast-contact rate and 390 xISO. He’s also posted a high-end .273 xISO against Braves starter Tyler Mahle across nine plate appearances. Even if it’s a small sample, those are big numbers, so I recommend this prop to +500.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This prop is in play to -120 because Freeman has posted an elite .375 wOBA against righties over the past three regular seasons and boasts a career .872 postseason OPS after going 4-for-11 with three runs and two solo home runs during this series. The veteran also sports a rock-solid .388 xwOBA across 22 plate appearances against Braves starter Tyler Mahle.
TB
@
NYY
Wed, Oct 7 • 8:00 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I’m going to double dip with New York Yankees bats and play Cody Bellinger for two H+R+R up to 55%.
Bellinger hit .289 against Nick Martinez’ three most-used pitches during the regular season while striking out in just 11.8% of his at-bats.
He is also a .288 hitter over more than 100 ABs vs. Tampa Bay Rays relievers, making him a threat throughout the entire game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Chandler Simpson u1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-155)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
This is a difficult spot for Chandler Simpson, and I’m on the Under to 62%.
Max Fried was miserably tough on left-handed bats throughout the year, holding them to a .167 average and 23 FB%.
Fried finished in the 90th percentile in ERA this season. Isolating left-handed starters in the 70th percentile or higher, Simpson cleared 1.5 H+R+R in just six of 18 games (33.3%).
MIL
@
SD
Wed, Oct 7 • 10:00 PM ET
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The weather report calls for the most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Jake Bauers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The weather report calls for the most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's game.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
