TOR +171 o8.0
LAD -187 u8.0

New York @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

NYM vs PHI Picks

MLB Picks
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI -1.5 (+152)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Let's go back to the well here with the Phils, but squeeze some value out of it. The Phils' offense is swinging a hot bat, and they'll have a great pitching advantage here with Sanchez taking on Holmes. 

Total Home Runs
Bryce Harper logo Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Bryce Harper is 6-for-16 lifetime versus Sean Manaea with a pair of doubles and a homer. He’s gone deep twice this month already, and also cracked seven round-trippers in August. Harper has nine bombs off left-handed hurlers as well, and Manaea owns an ERA over 5.00.

Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Kyle Schwarber owns a .333 ISO against left-handed pitching and 28 of his 50 hits have gone for extra bases. He crushes the fastball and should see plenty vs. Sean Manaea, who throws it nearly 60% of his pitches.

MoneyLine
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Anytime I can fade Sean Manaea, I have to do it. He's been very hittable across his last six starts, giving up 36 hits and 23 runs. Now he's got to face one of the best offenses in the league. The Phils win this one at home.

Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #7 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #7 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Jose Siri ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #7 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jose Siri will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Outs Recorded
Ranger Suarez logo
Ranger Suarez u17.5 Outs Recorded (+136)
Projection 17.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The New York Mets projected offense profiles as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #8 stadium in MLB for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Citizens Bank Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, Ranger Suarez encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #7 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers.. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #7 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Harrison Bader logo
Harrison Bader u1.5 Total Bases (-179)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 15.7% to 12%.. Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Harrison Bader has had positive variance on his side given the .040 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.
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NYM vs PHI Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

69% picking Philadelphia

31%
69%

Total PicksNYM 223, PHI 506

Moneyline
NYM
PHI
Moneyline

NYM vs PHI Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jose Siri
J. Siri
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jose Siri will have the upper hand in today's game. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jose Siri will have the upper hand in today's game. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Brandon Sproat Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Sproat
B. Sproat
starter SP • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Brandon Nimmo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.3-mph mark.

Brandon Sproat

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Brandon Nimmo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.3-mph mark.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Juan Soto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.2-mph in the last 14 days.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Juan Soto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.2-mph in the last 14 days.

Luisangel Acuna Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luisangel Acuna
L. Acuna
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Luisangel Acuna will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Luisangel Acuna has notched a .314 BABIP this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

Luisangel Acuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Luisangel Acuna will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Luisangel Acuna has notched a .314 BABIP this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Francisco Alvarez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last year to 11.9% this year.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Francisco Alvarez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last year to 11.9% this year.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 47.9% on the season to 63.2% over the past week. Based on Statcast data, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .270. Jeff McNeil has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 99th percentile with a 1.01 K/BB rate.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 47.9% on the season to 63.2% over the past week. Based on Statcast data, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .270. Jeff McNeil has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 99th percentile with a 1.01 K/BB rate.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.1°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.3° mark over the past 14 days.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.1°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.3° mark over the past 14 days.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Harrison Bader has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Harrison Bader will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Harrison Bader has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Harrison Bader will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an edge today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an edge today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.9°, Starling Marte has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.5° figure in the past 7 days.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.9°, Starling Marte has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.5° figure in the past 7 days.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage today.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Weston Wilson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Weston Wilson
W. Wilson
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Weston Wilson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Weston Wilson will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Weston Wilson has compiled a .258 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Weston Wilson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Weston Wilson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Weston Wilson will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Weston Wilson has compiled a .258 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
All Mets Money Leaders

Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders
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