Philadelphia @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

PHI vs MIL Picks

MLB Picks
Total Singles
Alec Bohm logo Alec Bohm o0.5 Total Singles (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Alec Bohm has hit at least one single in 65% of away games this season. He'll face a struggling Jacob Misiorowski, who has allowed 13 earned runs over his last four starts. 

Total Home Runs
Christian Yelich logo Christian Yelich o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Christian Yelich just had a very impressive August, batting .324 with seven long balls. He’ll be looking to carry that momentum into September, and he’ll be up against Phillies SP Taijuan Walker, against whom Yelich is 5-for-10, going deep once. Walker has surrendered seven home runs to left-handed hitters.

Spread
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL -1.5 (+135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This is a horrible schedule spot for Philly after losing 3-1 on Sunday Night Baseball. Milwaukee sports a 45-24 home record, and I give the Brewers the pitching edge this afternoon.

Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Milwaukee Brewers logo o9.0 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Since returning from injury, Jacob Misiorowski has allowed 11 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings pitched. He's got a short hook, and while his overpowering stuff has held true (18 strikeouts in that span), his command has been wobbly (seven walks). Phillies SP Taijuan Walker has outpitched his peripherals, and the Brewers lineup tends to make pitch-to-contact hurlers pay.

Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski logo
Jacob Misiorowski u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 5.5 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 79 pitches in this matchup (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) in charge of the strike zone today.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Jacob Misiorowski's high utilization percentage of his fastball (55.2% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.. Given the 2.79 deviation between Jacob Misiorowski's 13.40 K/9 and his 10.60 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress in the future.
Total RBIs
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Max Kepler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Max Kepler has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.2% rate last season to 11.7% this season.
Total RBIs
Alec Bohm logo
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is projected as the 19th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Over the last week, Alec Bohm's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%.
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game.
Total RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today.
Total RBIs
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. J.T. Realmuto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Outs Recorded
Jacob Misiorowski logo
Jacob Misiorowski u14.5 Outs Recorded (+150)
Projection 13 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 79 pitches in this matchup (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The 4th-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) in charge of the strike zone today.. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Max Kepler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Max Kepler has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.2% rate last season to 11.7% this season.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-160)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today.. In today's game, Kyle Schwarber is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.3% rate (99th percentile).. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team in action today.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
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PHI vs MIL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Milwaukee

38%
62%

Total PicksPHI 293, MIL 484

Moneyline
PHI
MIL

PHI vs MIL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's game. Bryson Stott's launch angle in recent games (19.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 15.7° seasonal angle.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's game. Bryson Stott's launch angle in recent games (19.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 15.7° seasonal angle.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.2% rate last season to 11.7% this season. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 17.4%.

Max Kepler logo

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.2% rate last season to 11.7% this season. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 17.4%.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Edmundo Sosa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 39.5% to 46.8%. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.5 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is remarkably athletic.

Edmundo Sosa logo

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Edmundo Sosa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 39.5% to 46.8%. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.5 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is remarkably athletic.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers
J. Bauers
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's 11.4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

Jake Bauers logo

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's 11.4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's game. Caleb Durbin has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.4% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days. Caleb Durbin has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph to 87-mph over the last two weeks.

Caleb Durbin logo

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's game. Caleb Durbin has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.4% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days. Caleb Durbin has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph to 87-mph over the last two weeks.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive skill to be a .322, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .020 deviation between that figure and his actual .302 wOBA.

Nick Castellanos logo

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive skill to be a .322, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .020 deviation between that figure and his actual .302 wOBA.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andruw Monasterio
A. Monasterio
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Andruw Monasterio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Andruw Monasterio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last year's 90.2-mph EV. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 23.9% on the season to 28% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Andruw Monasterio logo

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Andruw Monasterio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Andruw Monasterio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last year's 90.2-mph EV. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 23.9% on the season to 28% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In the last week, Harrison Bader's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 23.1%. Harrison Bader has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94-mph. Harrison Bader has posted a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In the last week, Harrison Bader's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 23.1%. Harrison Bader has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94-mph. Harrison Bader has posted a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.

Brandon Marsh logo

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is projected as the 19th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Over the last week, Alec Bohm's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%. Using Statcast data, Alec Bohm ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .287.

Alec Bohm logo

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is projected as the 19th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Over the last week, Alec Bohm's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%. Using Statcast data, Alec Bohm ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .287.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Andrew Vaughn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Andrew Vaughn has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season's 92.1-mph figure.

Andrew Vaughn logo

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Andrew Vaughn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Andrew Vaughn has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season's 92.1-mph figure.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Sporting a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trea Turner is ranked in the 85th percentile.

Trea Turner logo

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Sporting a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trea Turner is ranked in the 85th percentile.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Blake Perkins
B. Perkins
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage today. Blake Perkins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 95.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Blake Perkins logo

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage today. Blake Perkins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 95.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker today.

Christian Yelich logo

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker today.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game.

William Contreras logo

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today. Isaac Collins has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 90.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Isaac Collins has compiled a .355 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile. Placing in the 95th percentile, Isaac Collins sits with a .344 BABIP this year.

Isaac Collins logo

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today. Isaac Collins has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 90.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Isaac Collins has compiled a .355 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile. Placing in the 95th percentile, Isaac Collins sits with a .344 BABIP this year.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Sal Frelick will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Sal Frelick logo

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Sal Frelick will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. J.T. Realmuto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 19.2% over the last two weeks.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. J.T. Realmuto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 19.2% over the last two weeks.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Brice Turang logo

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today. Kyle Schwarber has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 15.6% rate last year to 20.8% this season.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today. Kyle Schwarber has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 15.6% rate last year to 20.8% this season.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Chourio will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jackson Chourio logo

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Chourio will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders

Milwaukee Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 9-1-0 +27055
2 LuckyGuy 3-7-0 +21010
3 Ollywood 4-6-0 +19651
4 luke44 2-7-1 +18810
5 declin005 5-5-0 +18675
6 ronebme 7-3-0 +18055
7 joe pockets 7-3-0 +17000
8 peede 5-5-0 +16645
9 longball44 7-3-0 +16480
10 djgarcia 7-3-0 +16030
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