Seattle @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). This season, Mitch Garver has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.8 mph compared to last year's 94.6 mph mark. Mitch Garver has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.6° mark is among the highest in the majors this year (85th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Naylor in today's matchup. Josh Naylor's launch angle lately (5.6° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 11.7° seasonal angle. When it comes to his batting average, Josh Naylor has had positive variance on his side this year. His .291 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cal Raleigh today. Cal Raleigh has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .389 figure is a good deal higher than his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 6th percentile, Cal Raleigh sports a .251 BABIP this year.

Logan Evans will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Mountcastle today. Ryan Mountcastle has displayed poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile with a 5.51 K/BB rate.

Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Sporting a 3.6 K/BB rate this year, Julio Rodriguez has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

Gunnar Henderson has gone under 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Evans throws from, Jordan Westburg meets a tough challenge in today's game. From last year to this one, Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 48.4% to 39.6%. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, going from 39.6% on the season to 18.2% over the past 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Jordan Westburg has had some very good luck this year. His .262 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247. In terms of plate discipline, Jordan Westburg's talent is quite poor, putting up a 4.95 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 8th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.6% to 20%.

Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Coby Mayo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Dylan Carlson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Alex Jackson's 11.6% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

Over the past 14 days, Jackson Holliday's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%. Jackson Holliday's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.8-mph over the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.9°, Jackson Holliday has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.1°) over the last two weeks. Jackson Holliday has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.78 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage today. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Logan Evans throws from, Ryan Noda will have the upper hand today. Ryan Noda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Dominic Canzone has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph mark.

The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Greg Allen will get to bat from his strong side against Logan Evans in today's matchup. Greg Allen pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (22.6°) is quite a bit better than his 18.8° figure last season.

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jorge Polanco has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.4% seasonal rate to 14.8% in the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game. Notching a 95.5-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks' worth of games, Jeremiah Jackson has been in great form lately.