Philadelphia @ New York Picks & Props

The #2 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Paul Goldschmidt has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the last week's worth of games. Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 95.8-mph EV last year has dropped to 93.8-mph.

The #2 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Nick Castellanos will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today's matchup.

The #2 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Trea Turner will not have the upper hand in today's game. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The #2 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryce Harper's true offensive skill to be a .370, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .004 deviation between that mark and his actual .374 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last season to 20% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Edmundo Sosa has posted a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 21.4%. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 14.3% on the season to 35.7% over the last week. J.T. Realmuto has recorded a .347 BABIP this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jasson Dominguez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 46.2% on the season to 66.7% in the past 14 days. Jasson Dominguez's quickness has improved this season. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.75 ft/sec now. In notching a .345 BABIP this year, Jasson Dominguez is ranked in the 94th percentile.

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. Bryson Stott has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Bryson Stott has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 91.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 88.8-mph. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.2% to 20.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.8°, Otto Kemp has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20° figure in the past week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.334) may lead us to conclude that Otto Kemp has been unlucky this year with his .302 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.21 ft/sec this year, Otto Kemp is quite toolsy.

Extreme flyball hitters like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Austin Wells will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph mark. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.7°) is significantly better than his 16.9° mark last season.

Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Max Kepler has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.2% rate last season to 11.7% this year. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.8% to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.3-mph EV.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (98% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Marsh has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .294 mark is a fair amount lower than his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. Anthony Volpe has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 31.3% over the last week. Anthony Volpe's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (34.6° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 13.2° seasonal angle.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ben Rice has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 90-mph EV. Over the past week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 107.1-mph of late.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today. Kyle Schwarber is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

There has been a significant improvement in Johan Rojas's launch angle from last year's 4.5° to 8.6° this season. In terms of his batting average, Johan Rojas has experienced some negative variance this year. His .232 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.13 ft/sec this year, Johan Rojas is remarkably athletic.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13.3% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. Ryan McMahon has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 102.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 93.7-mph figure. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 19.4% on the season to 39.1% in the last 14 days.

Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Oswald Peraza will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Oswald Peraza will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.259) suggests that Oswald Peraza has had some very poor luck this year with his .205 actual wOBA. Oswald Peraza's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) has been 111.8 mph this year, placing in the 77th percentile.