New York @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball batters like Tyrone Taylor tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitch Keller. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Tyrone Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23° angle over the past two weeks. Compared to last year, Tyrone Taylor has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.5% to 18% this season. Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .268 figure is a fair amount lower than his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.358) implies that Luis Torrens has been unlucky this year with his .271 actual wOBA. This year, Luis Torrens's 15.9% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 94th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jeff McNeil has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for pitchers. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Joey Bart will have an advantage today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Bryan Reynolds will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last season to 19.8% this year. Pete Alonso has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year's 89.7-mph EV.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an edge today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Mitch Keller The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (13.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 18.8° mark last year.

Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Mitch Keller. Ronny Mauricio's launch angle lately (31° in the past week) is considerably higher than his 12.1° seasonal angle.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in MLB. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Juan Soto has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 16.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past 14 days.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for pitchers. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 10.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 5.7% in the last two weeks.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have an edge today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle from last year's 4.7° to 9° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Brett Baty has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph mark. When it comes to his batting average, Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance this year. His .225 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jared Triolo will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Alexander Canario will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.310) suggests that Alexander Canario has had bad variance on his side this year with his .264 actual wOBA.

Henry Davis has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.