Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Batters such as Ke'Bryan Hayes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Chad Patrick who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 91.5-mph. Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle this season (8.9°) is considerably better than his 4.7° figure last year. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, posting a .252 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .045 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 6th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Carmen Mlodzinski will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Chourio in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Mlodzinski's large platoon split. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. In the past 7 days, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand today. Adam Frazier has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 1.1% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the past week's worth of games. Over the last 7 days, Adam Frazier's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.1-mph over the course of the season to 95.6-mph of late.

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Chad Patrick in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 15°, Spencer Horwitz has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.8° angle over the past week. Spencer Horwitz has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .273 mark is deflated compared to his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Caleb Durbin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last week, Caleb Durbin's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3% up to 11.1%. Caleb Durbin has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 84.6-mph EV.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Tommy Pham generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Chad Patrick. Despite posting a .231 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has had some very poor luck given the .074 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today's game. Oneil Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andrew McCutchen has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.3-mph average to last year's 93-mph figure.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chad Patrick. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Isiah Kiner-Falefa grades out in the 77th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271. In notching a .270 batting average this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa is ranked in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Joey Bart is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Joey Bart has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season's 93-mph average.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Isaac Collins will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Isaac Collins has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week. Isaac Collins has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.9-mph mark. In the past 7 days, Isaac Collins's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Chad Patrick in today's matchup.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carmen Mlodzinski in today's game... and even more favorably, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split. Sal Frelick is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Brice Turang will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brice Turang can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. William Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Rhys Hoskins tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Braxton Ashcraft. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Rhys Hoskins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 14th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Christian Yelich will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense. Because of Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Jake Bauers will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bats such as Jake Bauers with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Braxton Ashcraft who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Jake Bauers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.