New York @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst park in baseball for RHB base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. By putting up a 3.74 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Buddy Kennedy will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Buddy Kennedy will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.293) provides evidence that Buddy Kennedy has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .190 actual batting average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst park in baseball for RHB base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Alec Bohm's launch angle this year (6.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 10° figure last year.

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 16.3% to 20.7%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ronny Mauricio pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. In the past week, Ronny Mauricio has posted a 22.5° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. The standard deviation of Ronny Mauricio's launch angle has been very consistent lately (38.1° in the last week), which is an indicator of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Pete Alonso will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Luisangel Acuna's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Luisangel Acuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Extreme flyball bats like Luisangel Acuna are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.

Starling Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Starling Marte will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst park in baseball for RHB base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week. In the last week's worth of games, Francisco Lindor's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst park in baseball for RHB base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Trea Turner's launch angle lately (5.9° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 11.8° seasonal figure. Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .302 rate is a good deal higher than his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Trea Turner has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 7.2° figure is among the lowest in the league this year (16th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Otto Kemp's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Otto Kemp will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Luis Torrens will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Johan Rojas will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson today. Johan Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Johan Rojas's launch angle this year (9.2°) is significantly better than his 4.5° angle last season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Tyrone Taylor will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.5% to 18.7%.