MLB Picks

Jorbit Vivas's BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorbit Vivas is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Since the start of last season, Jorbit Vivas's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 5th percentile at 84 mph.. Jorbit Vivas and his 3.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 7th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 14th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jacob Young is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Hitting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Jacob Young will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jacob Young has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 107 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), ranking in the 3rd percentile.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Ramon Urias has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-deepest.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Urias today.. Sporting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ramon Urias finds himself in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability.

Ivan Herrera has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Typically, batters like Ivan Herrera who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Framber Valdez.. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Compiling a 0.9° launch angle over the past 14 days suggests that Ivan Herrera has been finding it challenging to lift the ball in recent games, which is a key component of hitting for power.. Ivan Herrera ranks in the 12th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.9% rate since the start of last season).

Warren is just as prone to being blown up as Pérez. The fastball velocity is elite, but real issues appear if you can get him off it. He comes off a 2.08 ERA start, but an expected ERA north of 4 hints at the underlying problems.

The Miami Marlins may not have to do much to push this over if the New York bats show up, too.

It is simply not a problem you want to have when heading to Yankee Stadium for the New York Yankees home opener. This team has ranked in the top five in hard-hit rate and barrel rate over five consecutive seasons. Perez will lean on his elite strikeout stuff and have some success, but eventually, a deep power lineup will tee off.

The San Diego Padres face Sonny Gray today, and Machado is very familiar with him. He’s 12-for-35 lifetime with three long balls. 15 of Machado’s homers last season were off righties, and Gray’s lone HR allowed this year was against a right-handed hitter. 

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate today at 55°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. As it relates to his batting average, Wilyer Abreu has been lucky since the start of last season. His .257 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

There’s a compelling case for the Under, which was a winning ticket in four of the last five meetings between these teams – and in all three of Cleveland’s matchups with the defending champs in L.A. this week, including a 4-1 victory on Wednesday.

With two quality starters on the mound, don’t count on the scoring getting out of hand, especially as the Guardians have a batting average of .189 through their first seven games. The hosts should have the hot bat of Chase DeLauter available again this afternoon, but I see Horton putting the clamps on Jose Ramirez and Co.

If you’re looking for a free-scoring offense, the Cubs are a good pick. They finished fifth in runs scored in 2025 and, boosted by Alex Bregman’s arrival, they’ve piled up 30 runs through their opening six contests this year. It also helps that Cade Horton is taking the ball today. He’s posted a 1.75 ERA across his past five starts, including a steady effort in his first outing of 2026.

Chicago swept Cleveland when the teams squared off last summer, with Horton pitching seven scoreless innings in one of those victories, and it’s easier to trust the visitors’ lineup here.

Schwarber already has two homers this season, and he's 9-for-24 lifetime with two bombs against Michael Lorenzen. The slugger also left the yard twice at Coors Field in 2025. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Brenton Doyle will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Brenton Doyle has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 16.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 22.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 9th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature on the slate at 41°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Since the start of last season, Trevor Larnach's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 22nd percentile at 90.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the last two weeks — 116.9-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Taylor Ward's 13.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Chad Patrick will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup.. In today's game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.9% rate (94th percentile).. Typically, batters like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chad Patrick.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Carter Jensen is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Reid Detmers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.. Brendan Donovan has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.. This season, there has been a decline in Brendan Donovan's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.55 ft/sec last year to 24.34 ft/sec currently.

In the last week's worth of games, Nolan Schanuel has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power).. Nolan Schanuel has paced 11.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 19th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Langeliers leads the big leagues in home runs with five, and he's gone deep in all but two games so far. The Athletics face Cristian Javier tonight, who allowed two bombs in his season debut. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Brice Matthews is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Brice Matthews has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 32% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the driest conditions on the schedule today at 11%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Arizona Diamondbacks don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Matt Olson is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.