Los Angeles @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Jackson Holliday has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jackson Holliday generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz. Jackson Holliday's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 89.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 81.5-mph over the last week. Jackson Holliday's launch angle in recent games (0.2° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 6° seasonal mark. Jackson Holliday's 6° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 6th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Zach Neto encounters a tough challenge today. In today's matchup, Zach Neto is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.9% rate (92nd percentile). The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of every team today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach Neto in today's matchup. Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zach Neto has had positive variance on his side given the .021 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 77.8-mph in the past week's worth of games. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 8.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) provides evidence that Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year with his .274 actual batting average.

Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Hitting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Jordan Westburg will be in a tough position in today's game. Posting a 4.2 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 15th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Taylor Ward has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will bat from his weak side against Jack Kochanowicz today. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 48.1% on the season to 28% in the past week's worth of games. Ranking in the 12th percentile, Adley Rutschman sports a .247 BABIP this year.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage today. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this season (22.9°) is significantly better than his 12.8° mark last season.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences among all stadiums. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Jack Kochanowicz today. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Batters such as Cedric Mullins with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Logan O'Hoppe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°, Logan O'Hoppe has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10.3°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Soler hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences among all stadiums. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jo Adell has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks. This season, Jo Adell has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.9 mph compared to last year's 94.1 mph mark.

Luis Rengifo's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Rengifo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Rengifo usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Charlie Morton.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the majors. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mike Trout hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Maverick Handley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Maverick Handley will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Scott Kingery hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Ranking in the 82nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.44 ft/sec this year, Scott Kingery is quite toolsy.