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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 17, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
+115 
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
3.94 |
-110 
|
u8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +160
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Valdezs last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 8-0 in Feddes last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+256)
o0.5+256
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-120 
|
o7.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.04 |
+108 
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 road starts.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-2 in Rangers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Top Projection
Jahmai Jones o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.96 |
-105
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -248
|
|
3.95 |
-104
|
u7.5 -118
|
-1.5 +184
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0 in Twins last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 on grass.
LA Angels
- Angels are 5-0 in Urenas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+154
|
o7.5 -121 
|
+1.5 -144
|
|
5.42 |
-175
|
u8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +130
|
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-0 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Royals last 11 overall.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Royals last 11 on grass.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in Burns' last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.24 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League East.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-2 in Orioles last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.70 |
+105
|
o7.0 -135
|
+1.5 -207
|
|
3.81 |
-120
|
u7.5 -118
|
-1.5 +180
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.60 |
+166
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.73 |
-190
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 8-2-1 in last 11 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.30 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 road games.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Thorntons last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.89 |
+118
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
|
4.56 |
-130
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 on grass.
- White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
-130
|
o7.5 -132
|
-- |
|
|
3.89 |
+110
|
u7.5 +108
|
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 6-0 in Ceases last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Ceases last 7 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Ceases last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Texas
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.53 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 9-1 in Mariners last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 10-2 in Mariners last 12 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games a home underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.89 |
-105
|
o8.0 -118
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.79 |
+101
|
u8.5 -118
|
+1.5 -170
|
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
-104
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.21 |
-112
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +150
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Nationals are 8-0 in Cavallis last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Leahys last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.45 |
-124
|
o8.5 +104
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
|
3.95 |
+106
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -156
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 on grass.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League West.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 15-3 in Angels last 18 vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.89 |
+165
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.52 |
-190
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +120
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 overall.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 on grass.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.17 |
-125
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.95 |
+110
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.57 |
+265
|
o7.5 -128
|
+2.5 -135
|
|
5.47 |
-305
|
u8.0 -110
|
-2.5 +110
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 overall.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
DET
@
CHW
Thu, Sep 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+380)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Randal Grichuk is as fierce as it gets against left-handed pitching.
He is hitting .329 with a .309 ISO and whopping 1.009 OPS when facing southpaws, and he should get plenty of at-bats against Framber Valdez – who has the ability to pitch deep into games even when not at his best.
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over up to 53%.
The Chicago White Sox hit for a ton of power vs. left-handed pitching, and they’re one of the best when it comes to getting the ball in the air.
The Detroit Tigers sit ninth in xwOBA against righties the last month. They can certainly get to Erick Fedde and his 24th percentile xERA.
BOS
@
TEX
Thu, Sep 17 • 8:05 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 55%. Neither lineup has generated much power lately, with Boston carrying just a .119 ISO over the last week and Texas sitting at .106. The Red Sox bullpen has also been excellent, posting a 2.92 FIP without surrendering a homer recently. That gives the Under several ways to cash.
Moneyline
BOS (-139)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 60%. Sonny Gray gives Boston the steadier starting point after posting a 2.40 FIP without allowing a homer across his last two outings. Texas has shown very little recent power, and its bullpen has been vulnerable. Even with Boston’s offense running somewhat cold, the pitching edge favors the visitors.
MIN
@
LAA
Thu, Sep 17 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
We love ourselves some Trout tonight. Not only does he have strong numbers in this specific matchup, but he's tagging four-seamers this year (14 of his 21 homers this year are on heaters), a pitch Bradley throws 47% of the time.
Total
o7.5 (-105)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Looking for damage today? Look Mike Trout and the Angels' way. Yes, Los Angeles owns a .300 xBA against Bradley, but it's Trout who's doing the heavy lifting here, going 3-for-5 with a .519 xBA. If he's up with traffic on the base paths, expect him to break the game wide-open. It helps to know the Los Angeles is somewhat of a hitter's park, too, coughing up 101 homers this year, which is middle-of-the-pack for MLB stadiums. I'd price this closer to 55%, so let's pocket this value.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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