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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 15, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+155 
|
o7.5 -103 
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
4.47 |
-163 
|
u8.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +130 
|
Colorado
- Over is 7-0 in Lorenzens last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Lorenzens last 4 starts on grass.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Lorenzens last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Lorenzens last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
o0.5+172
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+126
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.57 |
-134
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +158
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Lords last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Lords last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Lords last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
NY Mets
- Under is 7-0 in Mets last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
+136
|
o6.5 -150
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.32 |
-140
|
u7.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +152
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rays last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (+325)
o0.5+350
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.65 |
-102
|
o9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
5.24 |
-105
|
u9.5 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
Miami
- Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 road games.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Singers last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Singers last 7 starts on grass.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+108
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.50 |
-115
|
u11.0 -435
|
-1.5 +170
|
San Diego
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Cantillos last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+183
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
-124
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.24 |
+120
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -145
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Luzardos last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Luzardos last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-2 in Prielipps last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Twins last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Prielipps last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Prielipps last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
o0.5+197
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+110
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.62 |
-116
|
u11.5 -481
|
-1.5 +170
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Mariners last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Houston
- Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wesneskis last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 home games.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-112
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.18 |
+106
|
u8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -160
|
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.51 |
+120
|
o8.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
5.32 |
-127
|
u9.5 -130
|
-1.5 +155
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Rodriguezs last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Rodriguezs last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
-119
|
o7.5 +110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.40 |
+115
|
u7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 road starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Wrobleskis last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+284)
o0.5+284
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+140
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.72 |
-144
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +142
|
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games following a win.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Detmers' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.79 |
-150
|
o9.5 +105
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.71 |
+147
|
u10.5 -150
|
+1.5 -115
|
Texas
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Ginns last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.62 |
+130
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
|
4.15 |
-140
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Orioles last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rays last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.32 |
+105
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
4.31 |
-115
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.55 |
+115
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
|
5.14 |
-125
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+110
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -215
|
|
4.13 |
-115
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 games as a road underdog.
Toronto
- Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.19 |
-121
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +128
|
|
|
5.04 |
+110
|
u9.5 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
Miami
- Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.99 |
-110
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
|
4.17 |
+101
|
u8.5 -118
|
+1.5 -184
|
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.15 |
+147
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
|
5.01 |
-157
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +136
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
NY Mets
- Under is 7-0 in Mets last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Mets are 5-0 in Scotts last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
-104
|
o8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +164
|
|
4.44 |
-105
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -185
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 road games.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.20 |
-110
|
o9.5 +100
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
|
4.87 |
+101
|
u9.5 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 games as a favorite.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League East.
- Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
+136
|
o9.0 -105
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
5.28 |
-145
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 road games.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+120
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
|
-- |
-125
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +164
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Giants last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-130
|
o10.5 -105
|
-1.5 +112
|
|
|
-- |
+120
|
u10.5 -110
|
+1.5 -134
|
Texas
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Rangers last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-120
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
|
-- |
+115
|
u10.0 -124
|
+1.5 -145
|
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+147
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
|
-- |
-157
|
u7.5 -106
|
-1.5 +130
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+115
|
o8.0 +100
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
|
-- |
-125
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +172
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Houston
- Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 home games.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.06 |
+105
|
o10.5 +115
|
-1.5 +165 
|
|
|
5.03 |
-120
|
u10.5 -125
|
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Liberatores last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5+111
COL
@
SF
Sat, Aug 15 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Buddy Kennedy o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Buddy Kennedy will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Bryce Eldridge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all parks, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Bryce Eldridge will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game.
WAS
@
NYM
Sat, Aug 15 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total Home Runs (+880)
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Bo Bichette is hitting .313 with a .500 slugging percentage in 12 games in August, including hitting a couple of homers. Bichette is squaring up balls at a 27.2% rate, has positive launch angle metrics, and yet has gone through extended power outages. I'm taking Bichette to homer today at +800 or better.
The Washington Nationals bullpen is going to need to throw six or seven innings this afternoon, and this New York Mets lineup has feasted on weak pitching even while struggling overall. On the other side, Washington will make solid contact against the soft-tossing Manaea, who throws his average fastball at just 90.8 mph. I'm backing the Over at up to 8.5 runs.
BAL
@
TB
Sat, Aug 15 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Pete Alonso is locked in, with three homers, a .435 ISO, a 73.7% hard-hit rate, and a 26.3% barrel rate over his last six games. Ian Seymour has allowed loud contact lately, and Tampa Bay’s bullpen has surrendered 2.10 HR/9 recently, giving Alonso multiple power paths at plus money tonight.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Pete Alonso is scorching right now, batting .522 with a .435 ISO and three homers over his last six games. His hard-hit and barrel numbers are elite, and Ian Seymour has allowed hard contact lately. With Tampa Bay’s bullpen struggling too, Alonso has multiple paths to clear 1.5 total bases.
MIA
@
CIN
Sat, Aug 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Joe Mack o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.. Joe Mack will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.
SD
@
CLE
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 8.5 is a Padres-led angle, with Cantillo struggling and Cleveland’s bullpen vulnerable lately. San Diego owns a 139 wRC+ and .230 ISO over the last week, giving it enough upside to carry scoring. Cleveland’s recent 111 wRC+ also gives the Guardians a chance to contribute tonight at Progressive.
Moneyline
SD (+105)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
San Diego has the cleaner edge behind Randy Vasquez, who owns a 2.44 xERA over his last six outings while limiting homers and inducing ground balls. Joey Cantillo has struggled lately, allowing hard contact and home runs, while the Padres enter with a 139 wRC+ and .230 ISO over the last week.
PHI
@
MIN
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-116)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
PHI (-131)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
SEA
@
HOU
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Taylor Trammell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Taylor Trammell is hammering the baseball. He leads the Astros in ISO and SLG while barreling the ball at an astronomical 40% clip over the last 20 games.
He is striking out a ton while chasing power, but it’s hard to argue with a sky-high barrel rate and average distance of 340 feet over that period of time.
Bet to +600.
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Just four of 16 Emerson Hancock starts have come against Top-10 offenses in ISO vs. righties. He didn’t hold up in those games, posting a 5.32 ERA.
Hayden Wesneski ranks in the 16th percentile in xSLG and 12th percentile in xwOBA. Those are alarming numbers considering he has only faced the Angels, Blue Jays, and Giants – three bad offenses.
Bet the Over to -125.
BOS
@
PIT
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jared Jones throws a ton of fastballs and sliders, and Wilyer Abreu owns ISOs of .227 and .484 against those pitches when facing righties.
Abreu is also in fantastic form, ranking in the 99th percentile in ISO vs. right-handed pitching the past 20 games.
Bet to +360.
Total
u8.0 (-120)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Sonny Gray throws three pitches more frequently than the fastball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have posted a 3.9% barrel rate vs. the sinker, and have hit .235 or worse against sliders and cutters.
Boston does not hit for much power against the fastball, and Jared Jones’ 95th percentile average fastball velocity will help him neutralize it.
Bet to -130.
AZ
@
ATL
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
This is a rare situation where the pitching we're backing could be the most homer vulnerable As mentioned, that's because of the 42%+ hard-hit rate that Grant Holmes carries coming into this matchup. Corbin Carroll is poised to take advantage of that.
Holmes throws his slider, four-seamer, and cutter 74.8% of the time, led by a slider at 36.3%.
Carroll owns a .573 xSLG and 58.8% hard-hit rate against sliders, along with a .400 xSLG against four-seamers and .487 xSLG against cutters. He has also generated positive run value against all three pitch types.
Holmes will have to live in areas of his arsenal that match Carroll’s strongest contact profile, making him the best Arizona power target.
Total
o9.0 (-110)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
The starter ERAs point toward a pitchers' game, but the underlying contact suggests otherwise.
Grant Holmes owns a 3.47 ERA despite a 4.76 xERA, 90.9-mph average exit velocity, 42.1% hard-hit rate, and 9.1% barrel rate. Rodriguez has his own separation between results and expected production, with opponents carrying a .445 xSLG against him. The Braves should get the best of the DBacks but it won’t come without allowing runs. Both starters have allowed enough damaging contact to make a total of 9 playable, especially with temperatures near 90 degrees at first pitch. I’d play Over 9.5 as the stronger call.
MIL
@
LAD
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Jackson Chourio has been Milwaukee’s most consistent home run hitter this year with 17 dingers in 89 games. The right-handed slugger has hammered left-handed pitching, with five homers in just 94 at-bats while carrying a .309 average and .521 SLG. Breaking balls have been a weak spot for Wrobleski, who carries a -3 breaking run value according to Statcast. Wrobleski’s slider has been hit out of the park five times this season, and Chourio himself has hit nine of his 17 dingers off that pitch.
Total
u7.5 (-121)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
The Dodgers are scoring 3.62 rpg over their last 13 outings, while the Brewers are averaging just 3 rpg over their last seven. Milwaukee owns the eighth-worst average and highest K% vs. lefties this month, so I don't expect much offense on either side.
KC
@
LAA
Sat, Aug 15 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total Home Runs (+226)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Jac Caglianone is red-hot, with four homers in his last six games and a massive .583 ISO over the last week. He also owns a 57.1% hard-hit rate and 23.8% barrel rate. Reid Detmers’ recent homer issues and an Angels bullpen allowing loud contact give him multiple power paths tonight.
Total Hits
Denzer Guzman u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Denzer Guzman is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Batting from the same side that Randy Dobnak throws from, Denzer Guzman will not have the upper hand today.. Denzer Guzman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among all the teams today.
TEX
@
ATH
Sat, Aug 15 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Evan Carter o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park grades out as the #1 stadium in the game for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Ginn in today's game... and even more favorably, Ginn has a large platoon split.. The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
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Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
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Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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First Five Innings MLB Picks
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MLB Picks And Parlays
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