Baltimore @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage today. In the past 7 days, Mitch Garver's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 20%.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Josh Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Rojas has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 91.4-mph over the past 14 days.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Ty France's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 93-mph.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 15th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Hitting from the same side that Luis Castillo throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have a disadvantage today. Gunnar Henderson will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 98th percentile with a 22.4° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB. Posting a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Anthony Santander finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Luis Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heston Kjerstad in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#1-worst on the slate today). Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 14.3% to 19.1%. Posting a .375 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jordan Westburg grades out in the 97th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today. Adley Rutschman's launch angle this season (17.4°) is considerably better than his 12.5° mark last season.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mitch Haniger has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph average. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mitch Haniger's true offensive talent to be a .311, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .035 disparity between that figure and his actual .276 wOBA.

Luis Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cedric Mullins II in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today. Over the past 14 days, Cedric Mullins II's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colton Cowser today. Colton Cowser is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Colton Cowser has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan O'Hearn in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.6°, Dominic Canzone has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 42° angle in the past week's worth of games.

Ryan Mountcastle has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Austin Hays has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Dylan Moore has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.