Baltimore @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Whitlock throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Adley Rutschman has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Triston Casas will have an edge today.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Whitlock in today's game.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Santander has been hot recently, posting a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the last two weeks.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Whitlock in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the league, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Jordan Westburg's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .313 rate is a good deal lower than his .345 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ryan Mountcastle has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Reese McGuire hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. David Hamilton has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. David Hamilton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the league, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Pablo Reyes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.324) may lead us to conclude that Pablo Reyes has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .302 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage today.

Ramón Urías has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.