MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park ranks as the #30 stadium in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-highest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground among all parks — generally bad for homers.
Total Bases
Richie Palacios logo
Richie Palacios u1.5 Total Bases (-300)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Richie Palacios ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Richie Palacios is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.. This year, Richie Palacios has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 56% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.. PNC Park ranks as the #30 stadium in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-highest fences are at PNC Park.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Willy Adames logo Willy Adames o0.5 Total Home Runs (+420)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Willy Adames has two homers in his last eight games and will have the upper hand vs. a brutal Nationals pitching staff.

Miles Mikolas has already given up six homers in four outings, while the Nats bullpen has been hammered for 22 dingers - tied for the most in the majors.

Total Hits
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 96.3-mph mark last year has lowered to 89.1-mph.. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 13.7% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+165)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Ryan Weathers doesn’t need to be perfect today — he just needs to be better than Cole Ragans, and that bar isn’t especially high. Ragans walks nearly 15% of the batters he faces, and the Kansas City Royals bullpen has been leaking runs, posting a 6.08 ERA with 1.55 home runs allowed per nine innings. The New York Yankees’ lineup is deep enough to capitalize. Ben Rice and Aaron Judge are barreling the ball at elite rates, while Trent Grisham works counts as well as anyone in the lineup. The moneyline price is solid, but the run line is where the real value lies.

 

Total Hits
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #4 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 2nd-lowest level on the schedule today at 46°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Cole Ragans will hold the platoon advantage over Cody Bellinger in today's game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 19 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 9 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+520)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Gunnar Henderson is already up to seven home runs this season, and he added to that total with another dinger against the Guardians yesterday.

Henderson will be able to take advantage of Cleveland's bullpen, which has given up 13 homers - the fifth most in the majors.

Total Hits
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-coldest weather of the day at 46°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Apr 19 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Xavier Edwards logo
Xavier Edwards u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of all the teams in action today.. Xavier Edwards's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year, notching a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .087 discrepancy.
Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Gary Sanchez as the game's 18th-best home run hitter.. Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Gary Sanchez has exhibited some good exit velocity metrics recently, averaging 99.1-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.. Posting a 25.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gary Sanchez grades out in the 82nd percentile for power.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Apr 19 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, Target Field's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-deepest.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 44°.. Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Singer's huge platoon split.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. With a 3.63 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Byron Buxton has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 21st percentile.
Total Hits
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Spencer Steer is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. This year, Spencer Steer has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. In the majors, Target Field's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-deepest.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 42°.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Apr 19 • 2:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for right-handed home runs.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Ivan Herrera has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 94-mph in the last week.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Apr 19 • 2:20 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest temperature on the schedule today at 46°.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Alex Bregman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 15% to 9.8%.
Total Hits
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field projects as the #24 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest temperature on the schedule today at 46°.. David Peterson will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Busch in today's matchup.. In today's game, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (81st percentile).. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, Apr 19 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+186)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Rockies starter Michael Lorenzen is carrying an 8.10 ERA over five starts while allowing four dingers this season. The Rockies bullpen has also been susceptible to the long ball, allowing 11 homers.

All five of Shohei Ohtani's home runs have come in the last 13 games, and he'll enjoy a homer-friendly ballpark at Coors Field.

Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 19th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Apr 19 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andy Ibanez logo
Andy Ibanez u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Ibanez in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Andy Ibanez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Sutter Health Park's left field fences are the 6th-deepest.. Andy Ibanez's 89.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.
Total Hits
Tanner Murray logo
Tanner Murray u0.5 Total Hits (+127)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tanner Murray in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Tanner Murray is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. In today's game, Tanner Murray is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (79th percentile).. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tanner Murray in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Apr 19 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oswald Peraza logo
Oswald Peraza o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Angel Stadium projects as the #7 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Angel Stadium projects as the #7 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, Apr 19 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. This contest is expected to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This contest is expected to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sun, Apr 19 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nathan Lukes logo
Nathan Lukes u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Nathan Lukes has been pinch hit for 40% of the time.. Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Nathan Lukes will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Nathan Lukes has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 5% rate last year has decreased to 0% this year.. Nathan Lukes's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 87.9-mph mark last season has dropped off to 85.6-mph.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Chase Field has the 10th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage over Kazuma Okamoto in today's matchup.. In today's matchup, Kazuma Okamoto is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (84th percentile).. Kazuma Okamoto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Apr 19 • 4:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Isiah Kiner-Falefa u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been pinch hit for 12% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-coldest weather of all games today at 46°.
Total Hits
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the coldest weather of all games today at 48°.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Apr 19 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Painter in today's matchup.. In the past week, Mike Yastrzemski's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.5%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.6) may lead us to conclude that Mike Yastrzemski has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 16.2 actual HR/600.. As it relates to plate discipline, Mike Yastrzemski's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 87th percentile.
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