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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 19, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
+116 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -185 
|
|
4.79 |
-134
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +162
|
Detroit
- Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Jobes last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 7-0 in Burkes last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
-130
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -280 
|
|
3.95 |
+112 
|
u8.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +202
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League East.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Over is 7-2 in Orioles last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+105
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.53 |
-120
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +172
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 games as a road underdog.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Mets are 6-0 in Scotts last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+186
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+120
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
3.84 |
-134
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +172
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 5-0 in Peraltas last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+155
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -143
|
|
4.37 |
-177
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +128
|
Athletics
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts on grass.
- are 8-2 in Lopezs last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
o1.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+100
|
o8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +165 
|
|
4.38 |
-112
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -184
|
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Royals last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 10-0-1 in Royals last 11 overall.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Camerons last 6 interleague starts.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.43 |
-132
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.89 |
+120
|
u9.5 -105
|
+1.5 -136
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Boyds last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cincinnati
- Under is 3-0-2 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Reds last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Reds last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+115)
o1.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
-118
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
3.74 |
+105
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Under is 3-0-1 in Quantrills last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Quantrills last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Quantrills last 4 home starts.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5+221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
+100
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.01 |
-115
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +161
|
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Astros are 6-0 in Wesneskis last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Christian Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+124)
o1.5+124
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
+112
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.26 |
-125
|
u9.0 -125
|
-1.5 +172
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in McGreevys last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-0 in McGreevys last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Millers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Millers last 6 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Colorado
- Over is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games a home underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.12 |
-138
|
o7.0 -135
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.32 |
+125
|
u7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -143
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in Schlittlers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Schlittlers last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Pfaadts last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
o0.5+234
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+132
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.31 |
-150
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +145
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Perezs last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Mizes last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mizes last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.73 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 overall.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
-108
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
3.80 |
-108
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +155
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0 in Ryans last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ryans last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as an underdog.
LA Angels
- Over is 6-1 in Angels last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-1 in Detmers' last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Joe Ryan o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+475)
o6.5+125
DET
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 19 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (+116)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Chicago’s hitters are offering little resistance down the stretch, batting .211 with a brutal 28.7% strikeout rate over the last fourteen days. Meanwhile, Detroit’s relief corps has turned into an absolute buzzsaw, dialing up a microscopic 2.01 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 1.84 BB/9.
Jackson Jobe brings lethal stuff to the hill against an unannounced South Side arm, setting up Detroit as an exceptional plus-money look.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total RBIs (+450)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties.. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the schedule today (95%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
MIL
@
BAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Andrew Vaughn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.. Andrew Vaughn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today's game... and the cherry on top, Gasser has a large platoon split.. Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
PHI
@
NYM
Sat, Sep 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
ATH
@
CLE
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Zack Gelof is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors.. Jo Adell will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today's matchup... and moreover, Lopez has a large platoon split.
KC
@
PIT
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today.
CHC
@
CIN
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Dane Myers o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Dane Myers is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Dane Myers will have an advantage in today's matchup.
TOR
@
TEX
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Hitting from the opposite that José Soriano throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage today.
ATL
@
HOU
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (+102)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Atlanta’s offensive output has evaporated over the last two weeks, slipping to 26th overall with an 84 wRC+ and a meager .291 OBP, while their arms are getting hurt by the long ball (1.74 HR/9).
Houston is generating far more raw power right now (.210 ISO, 105 wRC+). Hayden Wesneski should outduel Grant Holmes in what essentially profiles as a pick’em spot for the Astros.
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+171)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
WAS
@
STL
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the highest temperatures of all games today at 95°.. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today.
Total RBIs
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the highest temperatures of all games today at 95°.. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today.
NYY
@
AZ
Sat, Sep 19 • 8:10 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+135)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Both batting orders are producing at nearly identical clips over the past two weeks (106 wRC+ for NYY, 105 for ARI), but the pitching setups couldn't look more different.
Arizona’s pen is locking down opponents with pinpoint efficiency (2.30 ERA, 3.38 SIERA, 0.33 HR/9), while New York’s relievers are getting barrelled (4.70 SIERA, 1.54 HR/9). Brandon Pfaadt at Chase Field against Cam Schlittler makes Arizona an outstanding home underdog.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cody Bellinger's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
MIA
@
SD
Sat, Sep 19 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total RBIs (+500)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 79%.
Total RBIs
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Griffin Conine is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 79%.. Griffin Conine will have the handedness advantage over Casey Mize in today's matchup.
MIN
@
LAA
Sat, Sep 19 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium profiles as the #28 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Joe Ryan will have the handedness advantage against Zach Neto in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Ryan's large platoon split.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Joe Ryan o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+230)
Projection 7.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Joe Ryan in the 92nd percentile among all starters in the league.. Joe Ryan has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.. The Los Angeles Angels have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Trout, Jose Siri, Oswald Peraza, Josh Lowe, Zach Neto).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 4th-best field in baseball for strikeouts.. Joe Ryan was in good form in his last outing and posted 7 strikeouts.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
