MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Mon, Apr 20 • 11:10 AM ET
1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

For as shaky as Jack Flaherty has been this season (and last), Sonny Gray is also starting to show signs of decline. While last season's 4.28 ERA was likely inflated due to some bad BABIP luck and wonky defense, this year, Gray's peripherals are actually worse than his 4.43 ERA. The Red Sox are among the most disappointing teams in baseball, and I like Detroit to win on the road.

Total Hits
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games on the slate at 48°.. Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough matchup in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dillon Dingler today.
View 9 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Mon, Apr 20 • 6:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Cleveland Guardians logo o8.5 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Slade Cecconi will have to face Yordan Alvarez at least a couple of times here, by which point, we could already clear this total. The Astros are a mess. Despite scoring an MLB-best 121 runs, they've allowed an MLB-worst 140. I like Spencer Arrighetti a bit, but the 10 strikeouts he registered in his season debut came against the K-prone Rockies. The Guardians will have better results against him, and the Over is an easy pick.

Total Hits
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest expects the lowest temperature on the schedule today at 40°.
View 11 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, Apr 20 • 6:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst park in the league for righty home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team in action today.. Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 4th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences today.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team in action today.. Nolan Gorman is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Miami (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).. Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
View 4 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, Apr 20 • 6:45 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 7th-hottest weather on the slate at 53°.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson in today's game.. Despite posting a .419 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Olson has experienced some positive variance given the .078 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 2nd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 7th-hottest weather on the slate at 53°.. Daylen Lile's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.8-mph mark last season has dropped off to 88.8-mph.
View 9 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, Apr 20 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°.. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team today.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
Total Hits
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°.. Michael Busch pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, Apr 20 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo Kansas City Royals logo u9.0 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Kyle Bradish's peripherals are all better than his 5.49 ERA indicates, and the Royals have deployed the most punchless offense in MLB this season (71 runs). With Seth Lugo toeing the rubber, I like the Under on a relatively high total.

Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremiah Jackson today.. Today, Jeremiah Jackson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (80th percentile).. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team in action today.. Jeremiah Jackson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
View 11 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, Apr 20 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the best hitting conditions of all games today.. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Wrobleski today.. Ezequiel Tovar will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 20th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the best hitting conditions of all games today.. Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Wrobleski today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, Apr 20 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Myles Straw logo
Myles Straw u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Myles Straw is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. This contest is forecasted to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Myles Straw will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. This year, there has been a decline in Myles Straw's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.39 ft/sec last year to 28.73 ft/sec currently.. Myles Straw's 4.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout u1.5 Total Bases (-176)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This contest is forecasted to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Mike Trout will be in a tough position today.. Out of every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, Apr 20 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. T-Mobile Park projects as the #31 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Dominic Canzone's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 93.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 89.6-mph over the last week.. Dominic Canzone's launch angle lately (25° over the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 28.5° seasonal mark.
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. Carlos Cortes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.