MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Mon, Apr 20 • 11:10 AM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Boston Red Sox logo u8.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Boston has scored only four runs and is 2-for-12 with runners in scoring position while Detroit is 5-16 with RISP during this series. 

Five of their previous six meetings have gone Under the total, and today's will too. 

 

Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (+123)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Flaherty draws a Boston lineup that ranks 23rd in baseball against right-handed pitching with a 25% strikeout rate and the second-lowest ISO in the sport against righties.

Sonny Gray gives up hits. His .295 xBA means the Detroit Tigers, who are slugging .403 with a .311 BABIP against right-handed pitching, will put the ball in play all afternoon. 

Detroit has won eight of its last nine, and is the right bet today. 

 

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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Mon, Apr 20 • 6:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Cleveland Guardians logo o8.5 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Slade Cecconi will have to face Yordan Alvarez at least a couple of times here, by which point, we could already clear this total. The Astros are a mess. Despite scoring an MLB-best 121 runs, they've allowed an MLB-worst 140. I like Spencer Arrighetti a bit, but the 10 strikeouts he registered in his season debut came against the K-prone Rockies. The Guardians will have better results against him, and the Over is an easy pick.

Total Hits
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest expects the lowest temperature on the schedule today at 40°.. Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage today.. Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Christian Walker has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 85.4-mph over the last week.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, Apr 20 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Kyle Stowers has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .288 BA is inflated compared to his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Hits
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Jakob Marsee has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last year has dropped off to 1.8% this year.. Jakob Marsee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 52.8% to 35.7%.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Mon, Apr 20 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Richie Palacios logo
Richie Palacios u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Richie Palacios is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Richie Palacios has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 62% of the time.. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, Apr 20 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The #4 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 7th-hottest weather on the slate at 52°.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Jake Irvin
Total Hits
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+167)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 7th-hottest weather on the slate at 52°.. Luis Garcia Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Luis Garcia Jr.'s launch angle in recent games (-3.5° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.5° seasonal mark.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, Apr 20 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field ranks as the #24 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest projects the 8th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 48°.. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team in action today.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
Total Hits
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field ranks as the #24 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest projects the 8th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 48°.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team in action today.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper in today's game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, Apr 20 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo Kansas City Royals logo u9.0 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Kyle Bradish's peripherals are all better than his 5.49 ERA indicates, and the Royals have deployed the most punchless offense in MLB this season (71 runs). With Seth Lugo toeing the rubber, I like the Under on a relatively high total.

Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremiah Jackson today.. Today, Jeremiah Jackson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (80th percentile).. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team in action today.. Jeremiah Jackson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, Apr 20 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the best hitting conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 20th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the best hitting conditions of all games today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, Apr 20 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Myles Straw logo
Myles Straw u0.5 Total Hits (+132)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Myles Straw is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. This contest is forecasted to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Myles Straw will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. This year, there has been a decline in Myles Straw's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.39 ft/sec last year to 28.73 ft/sec currently.. Myles Straw's 4.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.
Total Hits
Davis Schneider logo
Davis Schneider u0.5 Total Hits (+108)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 13th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. This contest is forecasted to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Davis Schneider today.. Davis Schneider has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .228 mark is quite a bit higher than his .175 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, Apr 20 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. Carlos Cortes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Given Emerson Hancock's large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
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