MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Mon, Apr 20 • 11:10 AM ET
3 Expert Picks 9 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Boston Red Sox logo u8.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Boston has scored only four runs and is 2-for-12 with runners in scoring position while Detroit is 5-16 with RISP during this series. 

Five of their previous six meetings have gone Under the total, and today's will too. 

 

Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (+123)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Flaherty draws a Boston lineup that ranks 23rd in baseball against right-handed pitching with a 25% strikeout rate and the second-lowest ISO in the sport against righties.

Sonny Gray gives up hits. His .295 xBA means the Detroit Tigers, who are slugging .403 with a .311 BABIP against right-handed pitching, will put the ball in play all afternoon. 

Detroit has won eight of its last nine, and is the right bet today. 

 

View 12 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Mon, Apr 20 • 6:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Cleveland Guardians logo o8.5 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Slade Cecconi will have to face Yordan Alvarez at least a couple of times here, by which point, we could already clear this total. The Astros are a mess. Despite scoring an MLB-best 121 runs, they've allowed an MLB-worst 140. I like Spencer Arrighetti a bit, but the 10 strikeouts he registered in his season debut came against the K-prone Rockies. The Guardians will have better results against him, and the Over is an easy pick.

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Slade Cecconi today.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, Apr 20 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Jakob Marsee has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last year has dropped off to 1.8% this year.. Jakob Marsee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 52.8% to 35.7%.. In the last week's worth of games, Jakob Marsee has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst park in the league for righty home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team in action today.. Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, Apr 20 • 6:45 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 7th-hottest weather on the slate at 53°.. Luis Garcia Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Luis Garcia Jr.'s launch angle in recent games (-3.5° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.5° seasonal mark.
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 7th-hottest weather on the slate at 53°.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson in today's game.. Despite posting a .419 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Olson has experienced some positive variance given the .078 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, Apr 20 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°.. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team today.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
Total Hits
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field ranks as the #24 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team today.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper in today's game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, Apr 20 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo Kansas City Royals logo u9.0 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Kyle Bradish's peripherals are all better than his 5.49 ERA indicates, and the Royals have deployed the most punchless offense in MLB this season (71 runs). With Seth Lugo toeing the rubber, I like the Under on a relatively high total.

Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremiah Jackson today.. Today, Jeremiah Jackson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (80th percentile).. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team in action today.. Jeremiah Jackson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, Apr 20 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 20th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the best hitting conditions of all games today.. Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Wrobleski today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the best hitting conditions of all games today.. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Wrobleski today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, Apr 20 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Myles Straw logo
Myles Straw u0.5 Total Hits (+132)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Myles Straw is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. This contest is forecasted to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Myles Straw will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. This year, there has been a decline in Myles Straw's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.39 ft/sec last year to 28.73 ft/sec currently.. Myles Straw's 4.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.
Total Hits
Davis Schneider logo
Davis Schneider u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 13th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. This contest is forecasted to have the 10th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Davis Schneider today.. Davis Schneider has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .228 mark is quite a bit higher than his .175 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, Apr 20 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. Carlos Cortes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.. Given Emerson Hancock's large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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