MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 7, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. JJ Wetherholt will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Jul 7 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand in today's game.. Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the schedule today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, Jul 7 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Riley Greene ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering J.T. Ginn's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn today... and even more favorably, Ginn has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Jul 7 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Otto Lopez is projected as the 10th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Jul 7 • 6:40 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today.
Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Jul 7 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have the upper hand today.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Jul 7 • 6:45 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jose Altuve logo
Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 77%.. Jose Altuve will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today's game.
Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 77%.. Because of Tatsuya Imai's large platoon split, James Wood will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 7 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Jul 7 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Cantillo today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+229)
Projection 1.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Luke Keaschall will have the upper hand in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage today.
View 10 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Jul 7 • 7:40 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+390)
Projection 0.26
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Jul 7 • 8:05 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Total Hits
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.
View 5 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Tue, Jul 7 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.. Mookie Betts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand in today's game.. Freddie Freeman will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 15 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 25 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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