MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 13, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jun 13 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Alec Burleson logo Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Alec Burleson enters this matchup red-hot after homering in three straight games while carrying a .560 ISO, 52.2% hard-hit rate, and 26.1% barrel rate over his last six contests. He'll face Connor Prielipp, who has allowed more than half of his contact against left-handed hitters in the air.

Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.6-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp in today's matchup.
View 6 Picks
New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, Jun 13 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Ernie Clement logo
Ernie Clement o0.5 Total RBIs (+273)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Ernie Clement is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jun 13 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Baltimore starter Trey Gibson is overpriced with a poor 6.34 SIERA and a handful of strikeouts. Randy Vasquez has been much more reliable with a slightly better 5.70 SIERA. Take the better pitching numbers with the Padres on the road.

Total Hits
Will Wagner logo
Will Wagner u0.5 Total Hits (+116)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Will Wagner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Since the start of last season, Will Wagner has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 29% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Extreme flyball batters like Will Wagner usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Trey Gibson.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Wagner today.. Since the start of last season, Will Wagner's 1.9% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 14th percentile among his peers.
View 7 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jun 13 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Tyler Callihan logo
Tyler Callihan o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
PNC Park projects as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tyler Callihan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lake Bachar today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler Callihan will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Owen Caissie logo
Owen Caissie o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. PNC Park projects as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Owen Caissie will have the upper hand today.
View 10 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Jung's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Josh Jung is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Josh Jung will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park projects as the #5 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Brandon Nimmo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
View 4 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+298)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Shohei Ohtani has rediscovered his power stroke, homering three times in his last six games while posting a .417 ISO and 58.8% hard-hit rate. He also draws a favorable matchup against Sean Burke, who has allowed 1.89 HR/9 and a 45.5% fly-ball rate over his last two starts.

Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as Major League Baseball's 20th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 park in the majors for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Guaranteed Rate Field has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 88°.
View 7 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Sean Manaea... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Sean Manaea... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team in action today.
View 10 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt McLain logo Matt McLain o0.5 Total Home Runs (+589)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Matt McLain is crushing the baseball lately, posting a .556 ISO with three homers in his last five games. He's also carrying a 50% hard-hit rate and 33.3% barrel rate, while his launch angle has jumped from 12.4 degrees on the season to 21.5 over his last 22 plate appearances.

Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Matt McLain is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's game.. Matt McLain has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days.
View 11 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+121)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP.. The 6th-shallowest RF fences among all parks are found in Progressive Field.. Riley Greene has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 93.1-mph over the last two weeks.
View 3 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, Jun 13 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-116)
Projection 2.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions of the day (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions of the day (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage today.
View 10 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jun 13 • 7:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 9 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (+108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The market is making a mistake by pricing the Phillies as big underdogs. Aaron Nola is a top-tier pitcher compared to Shane Drohan. Philadelphia's bullpen supports him with a strong 3.22 SIERA to keep Milwaukee quiet.

Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jun 13 • 10:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor McDonald today... and even more favorably, McDonald has a large platoon split.
Strikeouts Thrown
Ben Brown logo
Ben Brown u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-161)
Projection 4.43
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ben Brown is projected to throw 81 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate today.. Tyler Jones projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.. Projected catcher Carson Kelly projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ben Brown in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Jun 13 • 10:07 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the league.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
View Pick
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.